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In the partially-observed outcome setting, a recent set of proposals known as "prediction-powered inference" (PPI) involve (i) applying a pre-trained machine learning model to predict the response, and then (ii) using these predictions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Runjia Zou , Daniela Witten , Brian Williamson

We look at the problem of revising fuzzy belief bases, i.e., belief base revision in which both formulas in the base as well as revision-input formulas can come attached with varying truth-degrees. Working within a very general framework…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Richard Booth , Eva Richter

I discuss the design of the method of entropic inference as a general framework for reasoning under conditions of uncertainty. The main contribution of this discussion is to emphasize the pragmatic elements in the derivation. More…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2014-12-19 Ariel Caticha

Between Bayesian and frequentist inference, it's commonly believed that the former is for cases where one has a prior and the latter is for cases where one has no prior. But the prior/no-prior classification isn't exhaustive, and most…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-29 Ryan Martin

The notion of belief likelihood function of repeated trials is introduced, whenever the uncertainty for individual trials is encoded by a belief measure (a finite random set). This generalises the traditional likelihood function, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-21 Fabio Cuzzolin

We characterize information as risk reduction between knowledge states represented by partitions of the underlying probability space. Entropy corresponds to risk reduction from no (or partial) knowledge to full knowledge about a random…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Sebastian Gottwald , Daniel A. Braun

Shannon based his information theory on the notion of probability measures as it we developed by Kolmogorov. In this paper we study some fundamental problems in information theory based on expectation measures. In the theory of expectation…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-01-30 Peter Harremoës

This paper develops a category-theoretic approach to uncertainty, informativeness and decision-making problems. It is based on appropriate first order fuzzy logic in which not only logical connectives but also quantifiers have fuzzy…

综合数学 · 数学 2007-05-23 P. V. Golubtsov , S. S. Moskaliuk

Every day, we judge the probability of propositions. When we communicate graded confidence (e.g. "I am 90% sure"), we enable others to gauge how much weight to attach to our judgment. Ideally, people should share their judgments to reach…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-01-10 Patrick Stinson , Jasper van den Bosch , Trenton Jerde , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

We propose a general framework for interactively learning models, such as (binary or non-binary) classifiers, orderings/rankings of items, or clusterings of data points. Our framework is based on a generalization of Angluin's equivalence…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-10-17 Ehsan Emamjomeh-Zadeh , David Kempe

The authors propose a robust semi-parametric empirical likelihood method to integrate all available information from multiple samples with a common center of measurements. Two different sets of estimating equations are used to improve the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-03 Hsiao-Hsuan Wang , Yuehua Wu , Yuejiao Fu , Xiaogang Wang

We discuss a new approach to functional interpretations based on uniform quantification and relativization. The uniform quantification in the background permits a more penetrating analysis of principles related to collection and…

逻辑 · 数学 2025-09-08 Fernando Ferreira , Paulo Oliva

A common task in computational text analyses is to quantify how two corpora differ according to a measurement like word frequency, sentiment, or information content. However, collapsing the texts' rich stories into a single number is often…

In this paper, a mathematical theory of learning is proposed that has many parallels with information theory. We consider Vapnik's General Setting of Learning in which the learning process is defined to be the act of selecting a hypothesis…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-05-08 Ibrahim Alabdulmohsin

Mutual information is fundamentally important for measuring statistical dependence between variables and for quantifying information transfer by signaling and communication mechanisms. It can, however, be challenging to evaluate for…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-07-29 Clive G. Bowsher , Margaritis Voliotis

A quantum probability model is introduced and used to explain human probability judgment errors including the conjunction, disjunction, inverse, and conditional fallacies, as well as unpacking effects and partitioning effects. Quantum…

综合物理 · 物理学 2009-09-16 Jerome R. Busemeyer , Riccardo Franco , Emmanuel M. Pothos

We introduce a generalization of classic information-theoretic measures of predictive uncertainty in online language processing, based on the simulation of expected continuations of incremental linguistic contexts. Our framework provides a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-15 Mario Giulianelli , Andreas Opedal , Ryan Cotterell

We propose a new information-theoretic bound on generalization error based on a combination of the error decomposition technique of Bu et al. and the conditional mutual information (CMI) construction of Steinke and Zakynthinou. In a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-01-01 Ruida Zhou , Chao Tian , Tie Liu

Information theory is introduced in this lecture note with a particular emphasis on its relevance to algebraic coding theory. The document develops the mathematical foundations for quantifying uncertainty and information transmission by…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-12-08 El Mahdi Mouloua , Essaid Mohamed

It is not unusual for a data analyst to encounter data sets distributed across several computers. This can happen for reasons such as privacy concerns, efficiency of likelihood evaluations, or just the sheer size of the whole data set. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-22 Randy C. S. Lai , J. Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee