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We investigate asymptotic behaviour of probabilities of large deviations for normalized combinatorial sums. We find a zone in which these probabilities are equivalent to the tail of the standard normal law. Our conditions are similar to the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-15 Andrei N. Frolov

In this paper we prove a Large Deviation Principle for the sequence of symmetrised empirical measures $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} \delta_{(X^n_i,X^n_{\sigma_n(i)})}$ where $\sigma_n$ is a random permutation and $((X_i^n)_{1 \leq i \leq…

概率论 · 数学 2007-09-13 José Trashorras

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is esablished. A set of combinations of expectation values whose value does not in general depend…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-10-05 Paolo Rossi

\noindent We study the asymptotic behavior of a sum of independent and identically distributed random variables conditioned by a sum of independent and identically distributed integer-valued random variables. We prove a Berry-Esseen bound…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-01 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a multivariatedistribution based on independent samples. The main result is the proof of existence of an estimator with a non-asymptotic sub-Gaussian performance for all distributions…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-20 Emilien Joly , Gábor Lugosi , Roberto I. Oliveira

We formulate the statistics of the discrete multicomponent fragmentation event using a methodology borrowed from statistical mechanics. We generate the ensemble of all feasible distributions that can be formed when a single integer…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-07-03 Themis Matsoukas

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

This note provides a tool to infer moderate deviations principles for specific random variables from deviations principles for their Hubbard-Stratonovich transforms.

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-03 Matthias Löwe , Raphael Meiners

We tackle the problem of conditioning probabilistic programs on distributions of observable variables. Probabilistic programs are usually conditioned on samples from the joint data distribution, which we refer to as deterministic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang

We provide non-asymptotic, relative deviation bounds for the eigenvalues of empirical covariance and Gram matrices in general settings. Unlike typical uniform bounds, which may fail to capture the behavior of smaller eigenvalues, our…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-28 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir

In this paper, we consider moderate deviations for Good's coverage estimator. The moderate deviation principle and the self-normalized moderate deviation principle for Good's coverage estimator are established. The results are also applied…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-10 Fuqing Gao

Moderate deviation principles for stochastic differential equations driven by a Poisson random measure (PRM) in finite and infinite dimensions are obtained. Proofs are based on a variational representation for expected values of positive…

概率论 · 数学 2014-01-29 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

We study large and moderate deviations for a life insurance portfolio, without assuming identically distributed losses. The crucial assumption is that losses are bounded, and that variances are bounded below. From a standard large…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-04 Stefan Gerhold

An example of a discrete-time stationary random process whose sums follow the normal approximation within a given part of the region of moderate deviations, but violate it outside this part.

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-23 Boris Tsirelson

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on i.i.d. observations and adversarial contamination. We introduce a multivariate extension of the trimmed-mean estimator and show its optimal performance under minimal…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-25 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

We derive Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviations for stationary sequences of bounded random variables. Our results imply the moderate deviation principles and a Berry-Esseen bound. Applications to quantile coupling inequalities, functions of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

We study a generalization of conditional probability for arbitrary ordered vector spaces. A related problem is that of assigning a numerical value to one vector relative to another. We characterize the groups for which these generalized…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-12 Nicolas Monod

We extend previous large deviations results for the randomised Heston model to the case of moderate deviations. The proofs involve the G\"artner-Ellis theorem and sharp large deviations tools.

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-05-06 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi