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相关论文: Large deviations of Poisson cluster processes

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We establish sample-path large deviation principles for the centered cumulative functional of marked Poisson cluster processes in the Skorokhod space equipped with the M1 topology, under joint regular variation assumptions on the marks and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-22 Fabien Baeriswyl , Olivier Wintenberger

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-18 Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-01 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart

In this paper, we prove a process-level, also known as level-3 large deviation principle for a very general class of simple point processes, i.e. nonlinear Hawkes process, with a rate function given by the process-level entropy, which has…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we expand and generalize the findings presented in our previous work on the law of large numbers and the large deviation principle for Poisson processes with uniform catastrophes. We study three distinct scalings: sublinear…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-29 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

An analogue of Talagrand's convex distance for binomial and Poisson point processes is defined. A corresponding large deviation inequality is proved.

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-05 Matthias Reitzner

The main results in this paper concern large deviations for families of non-Gaussian processes obtained as suitable perturbations of continuous centered multivariate Gaussian processes which satisfy a large deviation principle. We present…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-06 C. Macci , B. Pacchiarotti

We study the tail asymptotics of two functionals (the maximum and the sum of the marks) of a generic cluster in two sub-models of the marked Poisson cluster process, namely the renewal Poisson cluster process and the Hawkes process. Under…

We prove exponential moments for linear combinations of the number of individuals of each type of a whole multitype Poissonian Galton Watson process. We give sharp estimates for such quantities, which depend on the expectation of the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-14 Théo Leblanc

We prove a large deviation principle for the point process associated to $k$-element connected components in $\mathbb R^d$ with respect to the connectivity radii $r_n\to\infty$. The random points are generated from a homogeneous Poisson…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-19 Christian Hirsch , Takashi Owada

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-23 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

The Airy point process is a determinantal point process that arises from the spectral edge of the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble. In this paper, we establish a large deviation principle for the Airy point process. Our result also extends to…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-10 Chenyang Zhong

We prove a large deviation principle for the point process of large Poisson $k$-nearest neighbor balls in hyperbolic space. More precisely, we consider a stationary Poisson point process of unit intensity in a growing sampling window in…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-19 Christian Hirsch , Moritz Otto , Takashi Owada , Christoph Thäle

Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes whose intensity depends on the past history, and is in general non-Markovian. Limit theorems for Hawkes processes in various asymptotic regimes have been studied in the literature. In…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-25 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We consider a general class of epidemic models obtained by applying a random time change to a collection of Poisson processes and we show the large deviation principle for such models. We generalize to a more general situation the approach…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-10 Etienne Pardoux , Brice Samegni-Kepgnou

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

We establish a large deviation principle for a reflected Poisson driven SDE. Our motivation is to study in a forthcoming paper the problem of exit of such a process from the basin of attraction of a locally stable equilibrium associated…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-09 Etienne Pardoux , Brice Samegni-Kepgnou

We study large deviation principles for Gaussian processes lifted to the free nilpotent group of step N. We apply this to a large class of Gaussian processes lifted to geometric rough paths. A large deviation principle for enhanced…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

Shot noise processes are used in applied probability to model a variety of physical systems in, for example, teletraffic theory, insurance and risk theory and in the engineering sciences. In this work we prove a large deviation principle…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Nyquist
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