统计方法学
The analysis of risk typically involves dividing a random damage-generation process into separate frequency (event-count) and severity (damage-magnitude) components. In the present article, we construct canonical families of mixture…
Making valid statistical inferences from privatized data is a key challenge in modern analysis. In Bayesian settings, data augmentation MCMC (DAMCMC) methods impute unobserved confidential data given noisy privatized summaries, enabling…
Social scientists now routinely draw on high-frequency, high-granularity ''microlevel'' data to estimate the causal effects of subnational interventions. To date, most researchers aggregate these data into panels, often tied to large-scale…
For over a century canonical correlations, variables, and related concepts have been studied across various fields, with contributions dating back to Jordan [1875] and Hotelling [1936]. This text surveys the evolution of canonical…
Paradoxically, while the assumptions of second-order stationarity and isotropy appear outdated in light of modern spatial data, they remain remarkably robust in practice, as nonstationary methods often provide marginal improvements in…
This paper presents a simulation study comparing the performance of generalized joint regression models (GJRM) with generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) and generalized estimating equations (GEE) for regression of longitudinal data with…
Most of the regularization methods such as the LASSO have one (or more) regularization parameter(s), and to select the value of the regularization parameter is essentially equal to select a model. Thus, to obtain a model suitable for the…
Resting-state brain functional connectivity quantifies the synchrony between activity patterns of different brain regions. In functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), each region comprises a set of spatially contiguous voxels at which…
Subtle alterations in brain network topology often evade detection by traditional statistical methods. To address this limitation, we introduce a Bayesian inference framework for topological comparison of brain networks that…
The Bradley-Terry model is widely used for the analysis of pairwise comparison data and, in essence, produces a ranking of the items under comparison. We embed the Bradley-Terry model within a stochastic block model, allowing items to…
Understanding the structure of weighted signed networks is essential for analysing social systems in which relationships vary both in sign and strength. Despite significant advances in statistical network analysis, there is still a lack of…
We propose a fully Bayesian approach for causal inference with multivariate categorical data based on staged tree models, a class of probabilistic graphical models capable of representing asymmetric and context-specific dependencies. To…
We give a contributed discussion on "Model uncertainty and missing data: An Objective Bayesian Perspective", where we discuss frequentist perspectives on the proposed methodology.
Preferential sampling has attracted considerable attention in geostatistics since the pioneering work of Diggle et al. (2010). A variety of likelihood-based approaches have been developed to correct estimation bias by explicitly modelling…
Evidence synthesis models combine multiple data sources to estimate latent quantities of interest, enabling reliable inference on parameters that are difficult to measure directly. However, shared parameters across data sources can induce…
Inferring the causal effects of time-varying treatments is often hindered by highly variable inverse propensity weights, particularly in settings with limited covariate overlap. Building on the key framework of Imai and Ratkovic (2015), we…
When releasing binary proportions computed using sensitive data, several government agencies and other data stewards protect confidentiality of the underlying values by ensuring the released statistics satisfy differential privacy.…
This paper proposes a new test for inequalities that are linear in possibly partially identified nuisance parameters. This type of hypothesis arises in a broad set of problems, including subvector inference for linear unconditional moment…
Population dynamics models play an important role in a number of fields, such as actuarial science, demography, and ecology, as they help explain past fluctuations and predict future population. The accuracy of these models is often…
Adjustment for ``super'' or ``prognostic'' composite covariates has become more popular in randomized trials recently. These prognostic covariates are often constructed from historical data by fitting a predictive model of the outcome on…