综合经济学

This paper employs agent-based modelling to explore the factors driving the high rate of tertiary education completion in the Netherlands. We examine the interplay of economic motivations, such as expected wages and financial constraints,…

Evidence is a crucial component of federal policy, but the interactions between the various stakeholders involved in funding, producing, and using the results of scientific research, an important class of evidence, for federal policy are…

Decarbonizing China's energy system requires both greening the power supply and electrifying end-use sectors. However, concerns exist that electrification may increase emissions while coal power dominates. Using a global climate model, we…

This paper investigates the value of recommendations for disseminating economic information, with a focus on frictions resulting from preference heterogeneity. We consider Bayesian expected-payoff maximizers who receive non-strategic…

It is shown that the structure of general equilibrium incomplete market models is intrinsically self-consistent and time-interlaced, with mean field interactions that are only implicit and also endogenous. Novel mathematical tools that can…

This study examines the psychological impact of energy crises on households, utilising the Perceived Stress Scale-10 (PSS-10) to measure the stress induced by disruptions in electricity, gas, and fuel supply and pricing. Through a…

Generative artificial intelligence (AI), particularly large language models (LLMs), is being rapidly deployed in recruitment and for candidate shortlisting. We audit several mid-sized open-source LLMs for gender bias using a dataset of…

The networked nature of supply chains makes them susceptible to systemic risk, where local firm failures can propagate through firm interdependencies that can lead to cascading supply chain disruptions. The systemic risk of supply chains…

This paper introduces a causal machine learning approach to investigate the impact of the EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic Trade Agreement (CETA). We propose a matrix completion algorithm on French customs data to obtain multidimensional…

Does talking to others make people more accurate or less accurate on numeric estimates such as quantitative evaluations or probabilistic forecasts? Research on peer-to-peer communication suggests that discussion between people will usually…

This study examines the relationship between GDP growth and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) across developed economies (G7, EU-15, OECD) and emerging markets (BRICS). We integrate Random Forest machine learning (non-linear regression)…

The purpose of this article is to explore the opportunity of recent and detailed unconventional data from the tourism sector collected from {\guillemotleft} Booking.com {\guillemotright} to make a finer and more up-to-date analysis than…

This paper introduces economists to quantum-inspired approaches for modeling firm behavior in a Cournot Duopoly, designed for accessibility and pedagogical use. We present key quantum concepts -- superposition, entanglement, and quantum…

Time series forecasting is crucial for decision-making across various domains, particularly in financial markets where stock prices exhibit complex and non-linear behaviors. Accurately predicting future price movements is challenging due to…

This study explores Telehealth Parity Laws (TPLs) and their heterogeneous treatment effects by policy type on outpatient utilization and Medicare costs, considering broadband and licensure infrastructure. State-specific legislative framings…

In credence goods markets such as health care or repair services, consumers rely on experts with superior information to adequately diagnose and treat them. Experts, however, are constrained in their diagnostic abilities, which hurts market…

This report addresses challenges and opportunities for innovation in the social sciences at the University of Oxford. It summarises findings from two focus group workshops with innovation experts from the University ecosystem. Experts…

We find that, in the 21st century, democracy has persistent negative impacts on growth in GDP and night-time light intensity. This finding emerges from five different instrumental variable strategies that account for potential invalidity in…

This paper investigates the dynamic complementarity between school health and education reforms implemented in Denmark between 1940 and 1965: the introduction of school doctors and the expansion of secondary education. Using a staggered…

This paper investigates the relationship between trade openness and CO2 emissions in Vietnam using the data from 1986 to 2014. We examine the consistency of the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis (EKC) and the pollution heaven…