聚合人类对COVID-19传播、负担与预防措施判断的概率预测
应用统计
2022-09-26 v2
摘要
针对具有公共卫生重要性的COVID-19目标的聚合人类判断预测是准确的，常优于计算模型。我们的工作表明，针对传染因子的聚合人类判断预测及时、准确且可适应，可用作疫情暴发期间辅助公共卫生决策的工具。
引用
@article{arxiv.2204.02466,
title = {Aggregating human judgment probabilistic predictions of COVID-19 transmission, burden, and preventative measures},
author = {Allison Codi and Damon Luk and David Braun and Juan Cambeiro and Tamay Besiroglu and Eva Chen and Luis Enrique Urtubey de C`esaris and Paolo Bocchini and Thomas McAndrew},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2204.02466},
year = {2022}
}