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We propose a new algorithmic framework for sequential hypothesis testing with i.i.d. data, which includes A/B testing, nonparametric two-sample testing, and independence testing as special cases. It is novel in several ways: (a) it takes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-03 Akshay Balsubramani , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper presents uniform-in-time finite-sample bounds for regularized linear regression with vector-valued outputs and conditionally zero-mean subgaussian noise. By revisiting classical self-normalized martingale arguments, we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Léo Simpson , Katrin Baumgärtner , Johannes Köhler , Moritz Diehl

We consider stochastic processes where randomly chosen particles with positive quantities x, y (> 0) interact and exchange the quantities asymmetrically by the rule x' = c{(1-a) x + b y}, y' = d{a x + (1-b) y} (x \ge y), where (0 \le) a, b…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Akihiro Fujihara , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential and moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time martingale under norming sequence 1/n, as in the classical Law of Large Numbers (LLN), by means of martingale differences…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We present a technique to study normalizing strategies when termination is asymptotic, that is, it appears as a limit, as opposite to reaching a normal form in a finite number of steps. Asymptotic termination occurs in several settings,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Claudia Faggian , Giulio Guerrieri

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

We provide a sufficient condition for the bounded law of the iterated logarithms for strictly stationary random fields expressable as a functional of i.i.d. random fields when the summation is done on rectangles. The study is done via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-17 Davide Giraudo

We generalize the notion of the submartingale property and Doob's inequality. Furthermore, we show how the latter leads to new inequalities for several stochastic processes: certain time series, Levy processes, random walks, processes with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 János Engländer

The now classical convergence in distribution theorem for well normalized sums ofstationary martingale increments has been extended to multi-indexed martingaleincrements (see Voln\'{y} (2019) and references in there). In the presentarticle…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Davide Giraudo , Emmanuel Lesigne , Dalibor Volny

In this article, we introduce \textit{Mallows processes}, defined to be continuous-time c\`adl\`ag processes with Mallows distributed marginals. We show that such processes exist and that they can be restricted to have certain natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Benoît Corsini

Adaptive randomized experiments update treatment probabilities as data accrue, but still require an end-of-study interval for the average treatment effect (ATE) at a prespecified horizon. Under adaptive assignment, propensities can keep…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Gabriel Saco

Random multiplicative processes $w_t =\lambda_1 \lambda_2 ... \lambda_t$ (with < \lambda_j > 0 ) lead, in the presence of a boundary constraint, to a distribution $P(w_t)$ in the form of a power law $w_t^{-(1+\mu)}$. We provide a simple and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Rama Cont , Didier Sornette

In this paper we study the exponential functionals of the processes $X$ with independent increments , namely $$I_t= \int _0^t\exp(-X_s)ds, _,\,\, t\geq 0,$$ and also $$I_{\infty}= \int _0^{\infty}\exp(-X_s)ds.$$ When $X$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-09 P. Salminen , L. Vostrikova

This paper is the Part II of a serious work about T product tensors focusing at establishing new probability bounds for sums of random, independent, T product tensors. These probability bounds characterize large deviation behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Shih Yu Chang , Yimin Wei

We derive finite time error bounds for estimating general linear time-invariant (LTI) systems from a single observed trajectory using the method of least squares. We provide the first analysis of the general case when eigenvalues of the LTI…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Tuhin Sarkar , Alexander Rakhlin

Closed-loop learning is the process of repeatedly estimating a model from data generated from the model itself. It is receiving great attention due to the possibility that large neural network models may, in the future, be primarily trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Fariba Jangjoo , Matteo Marsili , Yasser Roudi

We study general random dynamical systems of continuous maps on some compact metric space. Assuming a local contraction condition and uniqueness of the stationary measure, we establish probabilistic limit laws such as the central limit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Katrin Gelfert , Graccyela Salcedo

The well-known Bennett-Hoeffding bound for sums of independent random variables is refined, by taking into account truncated third moments, and at that also improved by using, instead of the class of all increasing exponential functions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

We propose and implement an approach to inference in linear instrumental variables models which is simultaneously robust and computationally tractable. Inference is based on self-normalization of sample moment conditions, and allows for…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-29 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

In this brief paper we find computable exponential convergence rates for a large class of stochastically ordered Markov processes. We extend the result of Lund, Meyn, and Tweedie (1996), who found exponential convergence rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Julia Gaudio , Saurabh Amin , Patrick Jaillet