English

Convergent multiplicative processes repelled from zero: power laws and truncated power laws

Condensed Matter 2007-05-23 v1

Abstract

Random multiplicative processes wt=λ1λ2...λtw_t =\lambda_1 \lambda_2 ... \lambda_t (with < \lambda_j > 0 ) lead, in the presence of a boundary constraint, to a distribution P(wt)P(w_t) in the form of a power law wt(1+μ)w_t^{-(1+\mu)}. We provide a simple and physically intuitive derivation of this result based on a random walk analogy and show the following: 1) the result applies to the asymptotic (tt \to \infty) distribution of wtw_t and should be distinguished from the central limit theorem which is a statement on the asymptotic distribution of the reduced variable 1t(logwt<logwt>){1 \over \sqrt{t}}(log w_t -< log w_t >); 2) the necessary and sufficient conditions for P(wt)P(w_t) to be a power law are that <log \lambda_j > < 0 (corresponding to a drift wt0w_t \to 0) and that wtw_t not be allowed to become too small. We discuss several models, previously unrelated, showing the common underlying mechanism for the generation of power laws by multiplicative processes: the variable logwt\log w_t undergoes a random walk biased to the left but is bounded by a repulsive ''force''. We give an approximate treatment, which becomes exact for narrow or log-normal distributions of λ\lambda, in terms of the Fokker-Planck equation. 3) For all these models, the exponent μ\mu is shown exactly to be the solution of λμ=1\langle \lambda^{\mu} \rangle = 1 and is therefore non-universal and depends on the distribution of λ\lambda.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.cond-mat/9609074,
  title  = {Convergent multiplicative processes repelled from zero: power laws and truncated power laws},
  author = {Rama Cont and Didier Sornette},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:cond-mat/9609074},
  year   = {2007}
}

Comments

19 pages, Latex, 4 figures available on request from [email protected]