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We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-26 Damián H. Zanette , Susanna Manrubia

A version of the Law of the Iterated Logarithm for smooth functions in the upper-half space is proved. As a consequence, we show that certain size conditions on the gradient and the gradient of the laplacian of a smooth function, lead to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2026-05-20 José G. Llorente , Artur Nicolau

A general method for obtaining moment inequalities for functions of independent random variables is presented. It is a generalization of the entropy method which has been used to derive concentration inequalities for such functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stephane Boucheron , Olivier Bousquet , Gabor Lugosi , Pascal Massart

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Xiequan Fan

In this paper, we study moment and concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of sums of dependent random matrices. We establish novel Rosenthal-Burkholder inequalities for discrete-time matrix local martingales,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Yang Peng , Yuchen Xin , Zhihua Zhang

We illustrate a process that constructs martingales from raw material that arises naturally from the theory of sampling without replacement.The usefulness of the new martingales is illustrated by the development of maximal inequalities for…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Vladimir Pozdnyakov , J. Michael Steele

We give a probabilistic introduction to determinantal and permanental point processes. Determinantal processes arise in physics (fermions, eigenvalues of random matrices) and in combinatorics (nonintersecting paths, random spanning trees).…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 J. Ben Hough , Manjunath Krishnapur , Yuval Peres , Bálint Virág

In this paper we study the path-regularity and martingale properties of the set-valued stochastic integrals defined in our previous work Ararat et al. (2023). Such integrals have some fundamental differences from the well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Çağın Ararat , Jin Ma

Language models famously improve under a smooth scaling law, but some specific capabilities exhibit sudden breakthroughs in performance. Advocates of "emergence" view these capabilities as unlocked at a specific scale, but others attribute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Rosie Zhao , Tian Qin , David Alvarez-Melis , Sham Kakade , Naomi Saphra

We study statistical inferences for a class of modulated stationary processes with time-dependent variances. Due to non-stationarity and the large number of unknown parameters, existing methods for stationary, or locally stationary, time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Zhibiao Zhao , Xiaoye Li

Inspired by a recent paper of I. Grama, E. Le Page and M. Peign\'e, we consider a sequence $(g_n)_{n \geq 1}$ of i.i.d. random $d\times d$-matrices with non-negative entries and study the fluctuations of the process $(\log \vert g_n\cdots…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-19 C. Pham

This paper develops techniques to study the number of descents in random permutations via martingales. We relax an assumption in the Berry-Esseen theorem of Bolthausen (1982) to extend the theorem's scope to martingale differences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Alperen Y. Özdemir

Stochastic iterative methods are useful in a variety of large-scale numerical linear algebraic, machine learning, and statistical problems, in part due to their low-memory footprint. They are frequently used in a variety of applications,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Toby Anderson , Max Collins , Jamie Haddock , Jackie Lok , Elizaveta Rebrova

Consider a branching Markov process, $X = (X(t), t \ge 0)$, with non-local branching mechanism. Studying the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of X has recently received attention in the literature [6, 7] due to the importance of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

Some classes of increment martingales, and the corresponding localized classes, are studied. An increment martingale is indexed by the real line and its increment processes are martingales. We focus primarily on the behavior as time goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Svend-Erik Graversen , Jan Pedersen

Certain previously known upper bounds on the moments of the norm of martingales in 2-smooth Banach spaces are improved. Some of these improvements hold even for sums of independent real-valued random variables. Applications to concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

A novel approach is proposed to establish a sharp upper bound on the expected supremum of a separable martingale random field, serving as an alternative to classical universal chaining-based methods. The proposed approach begins by deriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yoichi Nishiyama

We offer a new proof of the classical law of large numbers for a general class of branching Markov processes based on the asymptotic behaviour of the moments developed in \cite{bmoments, gonzalez2022erratum}. Moreover, we show that the law…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Christopher B. C. Dean , János Engländer , Emma Horton

In this paper, we present a new framework to obtain tail inequalities for sums of random matrices. Compared with existing works, our tail inequalities have the following characteristics: 1) high feasibility--they can be used to study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Chao Zhang , Min-Hsiu Hsieh , Dacheng Tao
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