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We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

A Poisson or a binomial process on an abstract state space and a symmetric function $f$ acting on $k$-tuples of its points are considered. They induce a point process on the target space of $f$. The main result is a functional limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Laurent Decreusefond , Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thäle

I derive the pointwise conditional means and variances of an arbitrary Gauss-Markov process, given noisy observations of points on a sample path. These moments depend on the process's mean and covariance functions, and on the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Benjamin Davies

We present a statistical physics framework for description of nonlinear non-equilibrium stochastic processes, modeled via chemical master equation, in the weak-noise limit. Using the Poisson representation approach and applying the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2014-05-15 K. G. Petrosyan , Chin-Kun Hu

In this article we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed diffusions, with observations following a marked point process. In the model, the data form a point process with observation times that have its intensity…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-17 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

A Gaussian process has been one of the important approaches for emulating computer simulations. However, the stationarity assumption for a Gaussian process and the intractability for large-scale dataset limit its availability in practice.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Chih-Li Sung , Benjamin Haaland , Youngdeok Hwang , Siyuan Lu

By departing from the previous attempt (Phys. Rev. {\bf E 51}, 4114, (1995)) we give a detailed construction of conditional and perturbed Markov processes, under the assumption that the Cauchy law of probability replaces the Gaussian law…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 P. Garbaczewski , R. Olkiewicz

In \cite{hZ09}, Zessin constructed the so-called P\'olya sum process via partial integration technique. This process shares some important properties with the Poisson process such as complete randomness and infinite divisibility. This work…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-27 Mathias Rafler

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multi-dimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. We assume that, for numerical reasons, one has to time-discretize the diffusion process which…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Hernando Ombao

A Gaussian filter is a filter with impulse response of Gaussian function. These filters are useful in image processing of 2D signals, as it removes unnecessary noise. Also, they could be helpful for data transmission (e.g. GMSK modulation).…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-18 Alex Pappachen James , Aidyn Zhambyl , Anju Nandakumar

Assuming uniqueness of the martingale problem for Markov processes of generators $q_t$ in a quadratic family like \[q_t(i,j) = a_t(i) q_0(i,j)^2 + b_t(i) q_0(i,j) - \frac{a_t(i)}{N} \sum_k q_0(i,k)^2,\] where $a_t(i),b_t(i)$ are predictable…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Haoming Wang

We consider a simple regression model where a regressor is composed of order statistics and a noise is Markov-modulated. We introduce an empirical bridge of regression residuals and prove its weak convergence to a centered Gaussian process.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Artyom Kovalevskii , Evgeny Shatalin

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

The observations in many applications consist of counts of discrete events, such as photons hitting a detector, which cannot be effectively modeled using an additive bounded or Gaussian noise model, and instead require a Poisson noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-13 Zachary T. Harmany , Roummel F. Marcia , Rebecca M. Willett

The work concerns the nonlinear filtering problem for a class of multiscale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems. First of all, by a Poisson equation we prove that the solution of the slow part for a multiscale system weakly converges to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Huijie Qiao , Wanlin Wei

In their 1993 paper 'Forecasting point and continuous processes: Prequential analysis' in Test, Vovk put forward a game-theoretic definition of the Poisson process. A key assumption therein is that the rate of the Poisson process is known…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Alexander Erreygers

The matched filter (MF) is widely used to detect signals hidden within the noise. If the noise is Gaussian, its performances are well-known and describable in an elegant analytical form. The treatment of non-Gaussian noises is often…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-08 Roberto Vio , Paola Andreani

We study well-posedness of sweeping processes with stochastic perturbations generated by a fractional Brownian motion and convergence of associated numerical schemes. To this end, we first prove new existence, uniqueness and approximation…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-05-07 Adrian Falkowski , Leszek Slominski

We present the first fully variational Bayesian inference scheme for continuous Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes. Such point processes are used in a variety of domains, including neuroscience, geo-statistics and astronomy, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-29 Chris Lloyd , Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts