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The goal of this paper is to propose a new approach to asymptotic analysis of the finite predictor for stationary sequences. It produces the exact asymptotics of the relative prediction error and the partial correlation coefficients. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-03 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

We show that the splitting-characterization of the Poisson point process is an immediate consequence of the Mecke-formula.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Benjamin Nehring

This paper focuses on the estimation of partially observed branching processes. First, the estimators from a frequentist perspective proposed in the literature are reviewed. The main objective of this paper is to present computational tools…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-21 Miguel González , Inés M. del Puerto , Manuel Serrano-Pastor

We consider the process of partial sums of moving averages of finite order with a regular varying memory function, constructed from a stationary sequence, variance of the sum of which is a regularly varying function. We study the Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 N. S. Arkashov

Operator self-similar processes, as an extension of self-similar processes, have been studied extensively. In this work, we study limit theorems for functionals of Gaussian vectors. Under some conditions, we determine that the limit of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Hongshuai Dai , Guangjun Shen , Lingtao Kong

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

The main result of this paper is a functional limit theorem for the sine-process. In particular, we study the limit distribution, in the space of trajectories, for the number of particles in a growing interval. The sine-process has the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Alexander I. Bufetov , Andrey V. Dymov

White noise is a fundamental and fairly well understood stochastic process that conforms the conceptual basis for many other processes, as well as for the modeling of time series. Here we push a fresh perspective toward white noise that,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-04 Alvaro Diaz-Ruelas

We define and prove existence of fractional $P(\phi)_1$-processes as random processes generated by fractional Schr\"odinger semigroups with Kato-decomposable potentials. Also, we show that the measure of such a process is a Gibbs measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Kamil Kaleta , Jozsef Lorinczi

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

The symmetric exclusion process and the voter model are two interacting particle systems for which a dual finite particle system allows one to characterize its invariant measures. Adding spontaneous births and deaths to the two processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Jung

We study decision timing problems on finite horizon with Poissonian information arrivals. In our model, a decision maker wishes to optimally time her action in order to maximize her expected reward. The reward depends on an unobservable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Michael Ludkovski , Semih Sezer

This paper presents a new approach to the analysis of mixed processes \[X_t=B_t+G_t,\qquad t\in[0,T],\] where $B_t$ is a Brownian motion and $G_t$ is an independent centered Gaussian process. We obtain a new canonical innovation…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-05 Chunhao Cai , Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

We introduce a hull operator on Poisson point processes, the easiest example being the convex hull of the support of a point process in Euclidean space. Assuming that the intensity measure of the process is known on the set generated by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Günter Last , Ilya Molchanov

In this paper, an explanation of the Newton-Peiseux algorithm is given. This explanation is supplemented with well-worked and explained examples of how to use the algorithm to find fractional power series expansions for all branches of a…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2008-07-30 Nicholas J. Willis , Annie K. Didier , Kevin M. Sonnanburg

Additive or multiplicative stationary noise recently became an important issue in applied fields such as microscopy or satellite imaging. Relatively few works address the design of dedicated denoising methods compared to the usual white…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-07-18 Jérôme Fehrenbach , Pierre Weiss

We prove weak convergence on the Skorokhod space of Galton-Watson processes with immigration, properly normalized, under the assumption that the tail of the immigration distribution has a logarithmic decay. The limits are extremal shot…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Alexander Iksanov , Zakhar Kabluchko

We introduce multi-kangaroo Markov processes and provide a general procedure for evaluating a certain type of stochastic functionals. We calculate analytically the large deviation properties. Applications include zero-crossing statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-25 C. Van den Broeck , R. Toral

In the paper we consider some piecewise deterministic Markov process whose continuous component evolves according to semiflows, which are switched at the jump times of a Poisson process. The associated Markov chain describes the states of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

In previous works, Bardina and Rovira (2023) constructed a family of processes that converge strongly towards Brownian motion, defined from renewal processes, are constructed. In this paper we prove that some of these processes can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Xavier Bardina , Salim Boukfal , Marc Cano , Carles Rovira