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In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real continuous-time processes. We give two equivalent definitions of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, non-unbiasedness,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Delphine Blanke , Denis Bosq

We present a generalized integral fluctuation theorem (GIFT) for general diffusion processes using the Feynman-Kac and Cameron-Martin-Girsanov formulas. Existing IFTs can be thought of to be its specific cases. We interpret the origin of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Fei Liu , Zhong-can Ou-Yang

We develop a convergent variational perturbation theory for conditional probability densities of Markov processes. The power of the theory is illustrated by applying it to the diffusion of a particle in an anharmonic potential.

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Hagen Kleinert , Axel Pelster , Mihai V. Putz

Gaussian processes (GP) are a widely used model for regression problems in supervised machine learning. Implementation of GP regression typically requires $O(n^3)$ logic gates. We show that the quantum linear systems algorithm [Harrow et…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Zhikuan Zhao , Jack K. Fitzsimons , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

A new image denoising algorithm to deal with the Poisson noise model is given, which is based on the idea of Non-Local Mean. By using the "Oracle" concept, we establish a theorem to show that the Non-Local Means Filter can effectively deal…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-18 Qiyu Jin , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Matthew O. Jones , Richard F. Serfozo

We consider shot-noise processes with an impulse response written in terms of the logarithm of the ratio between current and event time (instead of the usual absolute time difference). We study its finite-time properties as well as its weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Enrico Scalas

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a class of Kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience and remote sensing applications for parameter retrieval, model inversion, and emulation. They are widely used because they are simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

We consider a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (0, \frac12) \cup (\frac12, 1)$. Our goal is to estimate an unknown drift parameter $\alpha\in (-\infty,\infty)$ on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Chihoon Lee , Jian Song

The space-fractional and the time-fractional Poisson processes are two well-known models of fractional evolution. They can be constructed as standard Poisson processes with the time variable replaced by a stable subordinator and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti

Using tools from representation theory, we derive expressions for the coincidence rate of partially-distinguishable particles in an interferometry experiment. Our expressions are valid for either bosons or fermions, and for any number of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-05-04 Dylan Spivak , Murphy Yuezhen Niu , Barry C. Sanders , Hubert de Guise

We generalize Taylor's theorem by introducing a stochastic formulation based on an underlying Poisson point process model. We utilize this approach to propose a novel non-linear regression framework and perform statistical inference of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Weichao Wu , Athanasios C. Micheas

We consider one-dimensional stochastic differential equations with a boundary condition, driven by a Poisson process. We study existence and uniqueness of solutions and the absolute continuity of the law of the solution. In the case when…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Aureli Alabert , Miguel A. Marmolejo

We provide a complete solution of the problems of the probability distribution and the escape rate in Poisson-noise driven systems. It includes both the exponents and the prefactors. The analysis refers to an overdamped particle in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 M. I. Dykman

The Pitman-Yor process is a random discrete measure. The random weights or masses follow the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution with parameters $0<\alpha<1, \theta>-\alpha$. The parameters $\alpha$ and $\theta$ correspond to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Shui Feng , Fuqing Gao , Youzhou Zhou

In this article, we establish a probabilistic representation for the second-order moment of the solution of stochastic heat equation in $[0,1] \times \bR^d$, with multiplicative noise, which is fractional in time and colored in space. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-19 Raluca Balan

As part of a general theory for the isomorphism problem for actions of amenable groups, Ornstein and Weiss (J. Anal. Math. 48:1-141,1987) proved that any two Poisson point processes are isomorphic as measure-preserving actions. We give an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Terry Soo , Amanda Wilkens

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

The Gaussian function (GF) is widely used to explain the behavior or statistical distribution of many natural phenomena as well as industrial processes in different disciplines of engineering and applied science. For example, the GF can be…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-08 Ibrahim Al-Nahhal , Octavia A. Dobre , Ertugrul Basar , Cecilia Moloney , Salama Ikki

We consider the problem of statistical inference for a class of partially-observed diffusion processes, with discretely-observed data and finite-dimensional parameters. We construct unbiased estimators of the score function, i.e. the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-12 Jeremy Heng , Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra