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A modelling language is described which is suitable for the correlation of information when the underlying functional model of the system is incomplete or uncertain and the temporal dependencies are imprecise. An efficient and incremental…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 John Bigham

We present a discussion of generalized statistics based on Renyi's, Fisher's and Tsallis's measures of information. The unifying conceptual framework which we employ here is provided by information theory. Important applications of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Petr Jizba

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

The deep connection between entropy and information is discussed in terms of both classical and quantum physics. The mechanism of information transfer between systems via entanglement is explored in the context of decoherence theory. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-05 Martin Paul Vaughan

Time series prediction covers a vast field of every-day statistical applications in medical, environmental and economic domains. In this paper we develop nonparametric prediction strategies based on the combination of a set of 'experts' and…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-01-03 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , László Györfi , György Ottucsák

Sequence models assign probabilities to variable-length sequences such as natural language texts. The ability of sequence models to capture temporal dependence can be characterized by the temporal scaling of correlation and mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Huitao Shen

We consider regression analysis in the context of data integration. To combine partial information from external sources, we employ the idea of model calibration which introduces a "working" reduced model based on the observed covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-13 Zhonglei Wang , Hang J. Kim , Jae Kwang Kim

It is evidence that representation learning can improve model's performance over multiple downstream tasks in many real-world scenarios, such as image classification and recommender systems. Existing learning approaches rely on establishing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Mengyue Yang , Xinyu Cai , Furui Liu , Xu Chen , Zhitang Chen , Jianye Hao , Jun Wang

A full parametric and linear specification may be insufficient to capture complicated patterns in studies exploring complex features, such as those investigating age-related changes in brain functional abilities. Alternatively, a partially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Jia Liang , Shuo Chen , Peter Kochunov , L Elliot Hong , Chixiang Chen

There is a growing need for flexible general frameworks that integrate individual-level data with external summary information for improved statistical inference. External information relevant for a risk prediction model may come in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Tian Gu , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Bhramar Mukherjee

After reviewing unnormalized and normalized information distances based on incomputable notions of Kolmogorov complexity, we discuss how Kolmogorov complexity can be approximated by data compression algorithms. We argue that optimal…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Alexei Kaltchenko

We find the value of constants related to constraints in characterization of some known statistical distributions and then we proceed to use the idea behind maximum entropy principle to derive generalized version of this distributions using…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Oscar Sotolongo-Costa , Alejandro Gonzalez Gonzalez , Francois Brouers

Formalising the confrontation of opinions (models) to observations (data) is the task of Inferential Statistics. Information Theory provides us with a basic functional, the relative entropy (or Kullback-Leibler divergence), an asymmetrical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 François Bavaud

In this work we firstly review some results in Classical Information Theory. Next, we try to generalize these results by using the Tsallis entropy. We present a preliminary result and discuss our aims in this field.

General Literature · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gilson Antonio Giraldi

Time series data appears in a variety of applications such as smart transportation and environmental monitoring. One of the fundamental problems for time series analysis is time series forecasting. Despite the success of recent deep time…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Baoyu Jing , Si Zhang , Yada Zhu , Bin Peng , Kaiyu Guan , Andrew Margenot , Hanghang Tong

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We examine the convergence properties of sequences of nonnegative real numbers that satisfy a particular class of recursive inequalities, from the perspective of proof theory and computability theory. We first establish a number of results…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

We describe a new framework for causal inference and its application to return time series. In this system, causal relationships are represented as logical formulas, allowing us to test arbitrarily complex hypotheses in a computationally…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Petter N. Kolm , Bud Mishra

This paper considers a general class of nonparametric time series regression models where the regression function can be time-dependent. We establish an asymptotic theory for estimates of the time-varying regression functions. For this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu