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Related papers: Generalized redundancies for time series analysis

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Time series forecasting presents significant challenges in real-world applications across various domains. Building upon the decomposition of the time series, we enhance the architecture of machine learning models for better multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Sanjeev Panta , Xu Yuan , Li Chen , Nian-Feng Tzeng

Time series forecasting has received a lot of attention, with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) being one of the widely used models due to their ability to handle sequential data. Previous studies on RNN time series forecasting, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Christopher Salazar , Ashis G. Banerjee

Counterfactual explanations are increasingly proposed as interpretable mechanisms to achieve algorithmic recourse. However, current counterfactual techniques for time series classification are predominantly designed with static data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Emmanuel C. Chukwu , Rianne M. Schouten , Monique Tabak , Mykola Pechenizkiy

We study linear regressions in a context where the outcome of interest and some of the covariates are observed in two different datasets that cannot be matched. Traditional approaches obtain point identification by relying, often…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Christophe Gaillac , Arnaud Maurel

The recurrence times between extreme events have been the central point of statistical analyses in many different areas of science. Simultaneously, the Poincar\'e recurrence time has been extensively used to characterize nonlinear dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Eduardo G. Altmann , Holger Kantz

We present a generalised time scale for quantum chaos dynamics, motivated by nonextensive statistical mechanics. It recovers, as particular cases, the relaxation (Heisenberg) and the random (Ehrenfest) time scales. Moreover, we show that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-06-20 Ignacio S. Gomez , Ernesto P. Borges

Natural language processing tools have become frequently used in social sciences such as economics, political science, and sociology. Many publications apply topic modeling to elicit latent topics in text corpora and their development over…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-30 W. Benedikt Schmal

We present a comparison of simulation-based inference to full, field-based analytical inference in cosmological data analysis. To do so, we explore parameter inference for two cases where the information content is calculable analytically:…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 T. Lucas Makinen , Tom Charnock , Justin Alsing , Benjamin D. Wandelt

A general theory for computing information transfers in nonlinear stochastic systems driven by deterministic forcing and additive and/or multiplicative noises, is presented. It extends the Liang-Kleeman framework of causality inference to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-12 Carlos A. Pires , David Docquier , Stéphane Vannitsem

Recurrence plot based methods are highly efficient and widely accepted tools for the investigation of time series or one-dimensional data. We present an extension of the recurrence plots and their quantifications in order to study recurrent…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-06-13 Norbert Marwan , Juergen Kurths , Peter Saparin

The relation between time series irreversibility and entropy production has been recently investigated in thermodynamic systems operating away from equilibrium. In this work we explore this concept in the context of financial time series.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-11 Lucas Lacasa , Ryan Flanagan

The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

Recent years have seen rapid progress in identifying predefined relationship between entity pairs using neural networks NNs. However, such models often make predictions for each entity pair individually, thus often fail to solve the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Yuan Ye , Yansong Feng , Bingfeng Luo , Yuxuan Lai , Dongyan Zhao

We show how the Bell correlations can be modelled locally by relaxing the joint probability relation for independent variables $P(a,b)=P(a)P(b)$ outside classical settings, with complex/quaternion generators for the measurement outcomes…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-11 Anna Karlsson

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

In this paper, we explore connections between interpretable machine learning and learning theory through the lens of local approximation explanations. First, we tackle the traditional problem of performance generalization and bound the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Jeffrey Li , Vaishnavh Nagarajan , Gregory Plumb , Ameet Talwalkar

The study of correlated time-series is ubiquitous in statistical analysis, and the matrix decomposition of the cross-correlations between time series is a universal tool to extract the principal patterns of behavior in a wide range of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-28 Paolo Barucca , Mario Kieburg , Alexander Ossipov

The dynamics of time-reversible systems are statistically indistinguishable when observed forward or backward in time. A rich literature of statistical methods to distinguish irreversible dynamics from the reversible dynamics of linear,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-20 Teresa Dalle Nogare , Ben D. Fulcher

Nonlinear contraction theory is a comparatively recent dynamic control system design tool based on an exact differential analysis of convergence, in essence converting a nonlinear stability problem into a linear time-varying stability…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2007-05-23 Winfried Lohmiller , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine

We report a novel approach for the efficient computation of solutions of a broad class of large-scale systems of non-linear ordinary differential equations, describing aggregation kinetics. The method is based on a new take on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-14 Dmitrii Lukashevich , Ivan Tyukin , Nikolay Brilliantov