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A method for classification of complex time series using coarse-grained entropy rates (CER's) is presented. The CER's, which are computed from information-theoretic functionals -- redundancies, are relative measures of regularity and…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 Milan Palus

Information theoretic measures (entropies, entropy rates, mutual information) are nowadays commonly used in statistical signal processing for real-world data analysis. The present work proposes the use of Auto Mutual Information (Mutual…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-24 C Granero-Belinchón , S. Roux , P. Abry , N. Garnier

Important information on the structure of complex systems, consisting of more than one component, can be obtained by measuring to which extent the individual components exchange information among each other. Such knowledge is needed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

A time-reversed dynamics unwinds information scrambling, which is induced during the time-forward evolution with a complex Hamiltonian. We show that if the scrambled information is, in addition, partially damaged by a local measurement,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-07-27 Bin Yan , Nikolai A. Sinitsyn

Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

A method is proposed to generate an optimal fit of a number of connected linear trend segments onto time-series data. To be able to efficiently handle many lines, the method employs a stochastic search procedure to determine optimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Myrl G. Marmarelis

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

Clustered and longitudinal data are pervasive in scientific studies, from prenatal health programs to clinical trials and public health surveillance. Such data often involve non-Gaussian responses--including binary, categorical, and count…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Yibo Wang , Chenlei Leng , Cheng Yong Tang

This paper proposes valid inference tools, based on self-normalization, in time series expected shortfall regressions and, as a corollary, also in quantile regressions. Extant methods for such time series regressions, based on a bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-24 Yannick Hoga , Christian Schulz

Extensions of previous linear regression models for interval data are presented. A more flexible simple linear model is formalized. The new model may express cross-relationships between mid-points and spreads of the interval data in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Angela Blanco-Fernández , Marta García-Bárzana , Ana Colubi , Erricos J. Kontoghiorghes

Time series of counts arise in a variety of forecasting applications, for which traditional models are generally inappropriate. This paper introduces a hierarchical Bayesian formulation applicable to count time series that can easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-16 Nicolas Chapados

In industrial data analytics, one of the fundamental problems is to utilize the temporal correlation of the industrial data to make timely predictions in the production process, such as fault prediction and yield prediction. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-23 Hongzhi Wang , Yijie Yang , Yang Song

In this set of five lectures the authors have presented techniques to analyze open classical and quantum systems using correlation matrices. For diverse reasons we shall see that random matrices play an important role to describe a null…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-02-12 Vinayak , Thomas H. Seligman

Causal inference uses observations to infer the causal structure of the data generating system. We study a class of functional models that we call Time Series Models with Independent Noise (TiMINo). These models require independent residual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

A unified combinatorial definition of the information content and entropy of different types of patterns, compatible with the traditional concepts of information and entropy, going beyond the limitations of Shannon information interpretable…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zsolt Pocze

The interplay of optimizers and architectures in neural networks is complicated and hard to understand why some optimizers work better on some specific architectures. In this paper, we find that the traditionally used sharpness metric does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Zhiquan Tan , Weiran Huang

In multi-center clinical trials, due to various reasons, the individual-level data are strictly restricted to be assessed publicly. Instead, the summarized information is widely available from published results. With the advance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Jing Qin , Yukun Liu , Pengfei Li

Firstly, assuming Gaussianity, equations for the following information theory measures are presented: total correlation/coherence (TC), dual total correlation/coherence (DTC), O-information, TSE complexity, and redundancy-synergy index…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Roberto D. Pascual-Marqui , Kieko Kochi , Toshihiko Kinoshita

Generalized linear models are flexible tools for the analysis of diverse datasets, but the classical formulation requires that the parametric component is correctly specified and the data contain no atypical observations. To address these…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-21 Ioannis Kalogridis , Gerda Claeskens , Stefan Van Aelst

Categorical data are common in educational and social science research; however, methods for its analysis are generally not covered in introductory statistics courses. This chapter overviews fundamental concepts and methods in categorical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Dandan Chen , Carolyn Anderson
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