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We explore the applicability of the causal analysis based on temporally shifted (lagged) Pearson correlation applied to diverse time series of different natures in context of the problem of financial market prediction. Theoretical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Anton Kolonin , Ali Raheman , Mukul Vishwas , Ikram Ansari , Juan Pinzon , Alice Ho

We extend conformal inference to general settings that allow for time series data. Our proposal is developed as a randomization method and accounts for potential serial dependence by including block structures in the permutation scheme. As…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wuthrich , Yinchu Zhu

We show that extensive thermostatistics based on Renyi entropy and Kolmogorov-Nagumo averages can be expressed in terms of Tsallis non- extensive thermostatistics. We use this correspondence to generalize thermostatistics to a large class…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Jan Naudts , Marek Czachor

Networks where each node has one or more associated numerical values are common in applications. This work studies how summary statistics used for the analysis of spatial data can be applied to non-spatial networks for the purposes of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Rudy Arthur

Information theory is a practical and theoretical framework developed for the study of communication over noisy channels. Its probabilistic basis and capacity to relate statistical structure to function make it ideally suited for studying…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-09 Robin A. A. Ince , Stefano Panzeri , Simon R. Schultz

According to a previous conjecture, spatial and temporal Lyapunov exponents of chaotic extended systems can be obtained from derivatives of a suitable function: the entropy potential. The validity and the consequences of this hypothesis are…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-30 Stefano Lepri , Antonio Politi , Alessandro Torcini

The statistical dependencies which independent component analysis (ICA) cannot remove often provide rich information beyond the linear independent components. It would thus be very useful to estimate the dependency structure from data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-28 Hiroaki Sasaki , Michael U. Gutmann , Hayaru Shouno , Aapo Hyvärinen

These lecture notes represent supplementary material for a short course on time series econometrics and network econometrics. We give emphasis on limit theory for time series regression models as well as the use of the local-to-unity…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-15 Christis Katsouris

The relative entropy and chi-squared divergence are fundamental divergence measures in information theory and statistics. This paper is focused on a study of integral relations between the two divergences, the implications of these…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Tomohiro Nishiyama , Igal Sason

We discuss the development of novel deep learning algorithms to enable real-time regression analysis for time series data. We showcase the application of this new method with a timely case study, and then discuss the applicability of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 E. A. Huerta , Daniel George , Zhizhen Zhao , Gabrielle Allen

Nonlinear regression has been extensively employed in many computer vision problems (e.g., crowd counting, age estimation, affective computing). Under the umbrella of deep learning, two common solutions exist i) transforming nonlinear…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Le Zhang , Zenglin Shi , Ming-Ming Cheng , Yun Liu , Jia-Wang Bian , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Guoyan Zheng , Zeng Zeng

Counterfactual explanations emerge as a powerful approach in explainable AI, providing what-if scenarios that reveal how minimal changes to an input time series can alter the model's prediction. This work presents a survey of recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Udo Schlegel , Thomas Seidl

Correlated data are ubiquitous in today's data-driven society. While regression models for analyzing means and variances of responses of interest are relatively well-developed, the development of these models for analyzing the correlations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Jie Hu , Yu Chen , Chenlei Leng , Cheng Yong Tang

Information theory is a practical and theoretical framework developed for the study of communication over noisy channels. Its probabilistic basis and capacity to relate statistical structure to function make it ideally suited for studying…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-09 Robin A. A. Ince , Simon R. Schultz , Stefano Panzeri

The improved method of intermittent data analysis is proposed. It exploits, in addition to the standard density moments, the information on the bin-bin correlations, observed in the data and expressed in terms of the density correlators.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 B. Ziaja

Count data take on non-negative integer values and are challenging to properly analyze using standard linear-Gaussian methods such as linear regression and principal components analysis. Generalized linear models enable direct modeling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 F. William Townes

Information theory is a practical and theoretical framework developed for the study of communication over noisy channels. Its probabilistic basis and capacity to relate statistical structure to function make it ideally suited for studying…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-09 Simon R. Schultz , Robin A. A. Ince , Stefano Panzeri

Citations are increasingly used for research evaluations. It is therefore important to identify factors affecting citation scores that are unrelated to scholarly quality or usefulness so that these can be taken into account. Regression is…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Mike Thelwall , Paul Wilson

Natural systems are typically nonlinear and complex, and it is of great interest to be able to reconstruct a system in order to understand its mechanism, which can not only recover nonlinear behaviors but also predict future dynamics. Due…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-11-03 Huanfei Ma , Siyang Leng , Luonan Chen

Given the constant rise in quantity and quality of data obtained from neural systems on many scales ranging from molecular to systems', information-theoretic analyses became increasingly necessary during the past few decades in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-08 Felix Effenberger
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