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Mountains represent a crucial natural resource for many regions worldwide, particularly in Mediterranean areas such as the Iberian Peninsula, where climate change can have profound consequences. However, due to their coarse resolution,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-02 Diego García-Maroto , Elsa Mohino , Luis Durán , Álvaro González-Cervera , Xabier Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia

Understanding regional hydroclimatic variability and its drivers is essential for anticipating the impacts of climate change on water resources and sustainability. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains in the simulation of the coupled land…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-05 J. L. Roque , F. Da Silva Lopes , J. A. Giles , B. D. Gutknecht , B. Schalge , Y. Zhang , M. Ferro , P. Friederichs , K. Goergen , S. Poll , A. Valmassoi

Accurate regional climate forecast calls for high-resolution downscaling of Global Climate Models (GCMs). This work presents a deep-learning-based multi-model evaluation and downscaling framework ranking 32 Coupled Model Intercomparison…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Parthiban Loganathan , Elias Zea , Ricardo Vinuesa , Evelyn Otero

Global Storm-Resolving Models (GSRMs) have gained widespread interest because of the unprecedented detail with which they resolve the global climate. However, it remains difficult to quantify objective differences in how GSRMs resolve…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-05 Griffin Mooers , Mike Pritchard , Tom Beucler , Prakhar Srivastava , Harshini Mangipudi , Liran Peng , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

The CMIP global climate models (GCMs) assess that nearly 100% of global surface warming observed between 1850-1900 and 2011-2020 is attributable to anthropogenic drivers like greenhouse gas emissions. These models also generate future…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-18 Nicola Scafetta

Many regions across the globe broke their surface temperature records in recent years, further sparking concerns about the impending arrival of "tipping points" later in the 21st century. This study analyzes observed global surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-13 Nicole Ma , Jonathan H. Jiang , Kennard Hou , Yun Lin , Trung Vu , Philip E. Rosen , Yu Gu , Kristen A. Fahy

A promising approach to improve cloud parameterizations within climate models and thus climate projections is to use deep learning in combination with training data from storm-resolving model (SRM) simulations. The ICOsahedral…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-18 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Pierre Gentine , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Marco A. Giorgetta , Veronika Eyring

We discuss the computational challenges and requirements for high-resolution climate simulations using the Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic Weather and Climate Model (ICON). We define a detailed requirements model for ICON which emphasizes the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-24 Torsten Hoefler , Alexandru Calotoiu , Anurag Dipankar , Thomas Schulthess , Xavier Lapillonne , Oliver Fuhrer

Due to computational constraints, running global climate models (GCMs) for many years requires a lower spatial grid resolution (${\gtrsim}50$ km) than is optimal for accurately resolving important physical processes. Such processes are…

Power spectra of global surface temperature (GST) records reveal major periodicities at about 9.1, 10-11, 19-22 and 59-62 years. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs), to be used in the IPCC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-29 Nicola Scafetta

Ice storms are extreme weather events that can have devastating implications for the sustainability of natural ecosystems as well as man made infrastructure. Ice storms are caused by a complex mix of atmospheric conditions and are among the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-15 Ranjini Swaminathan , Mohan Sridharan , Katharine Hayhoe

Observed changes such as increasing global temperatures and the intensification of the global water cycle in the 20th century are also robust results of coupled general circulation models. In spite of this success model-to-model variability…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-09-30 Beate G. Liepert , Michael Previdi

Climate change is predicted to lead to major changes in terrestrial ecosystems. However, significant differences in climate model projections for given scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions, continue to hinder detailed assessment. Here we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-29 Morgan Sparey , Peter M. Cox , Mark S. Williamson

Kilometer-scale weather data is crucial for real-world applications but remains computationally intensive to produce using traditional weather simulations. An emerging solution is to use deep learning models, which offer a faster…

Earth System Models (ESM) are our main tool for projecting the impacts of climate change. However, running these models at sufficient resolution for local-scale risk-assessments is not computationally feasible. Deep learning-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Paula Harder , Luca Schmidt , Francis Pelletier , Nicole Ludwig , Matthew Chantry , Christian Lessig , Alex Hernandez-Garcia , David Rolnick

Climate models are essential for assessing the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on our changing climate and the resulting increase in the frequency and severity of natural disasters. Despite the widespread acceptance of climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 Vsevolod Morozov , Artem Galliamov , Aleksandr Lukashevich , Antonina Kurdukova , Yury Maximov

Smart Ice Cloud Sensing (SMICES) is a small-sat concept in which a primary radar intelligently targets ice storms based on information collected by a lookahead radiometer. Critical to the intelligent targeting is accurate identification of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Jason Swope , Steve Chien , Emily Dunkel , Xavier Bosch-Lluis , Qing Yue , William Deal

The state of the art for physical hazard prediction from weather and climate requires expensive km-scale numerical simulations driven by coarser resolution global inputs. Here, a generative diffusion architecture is explored for downscaling…

Climate system models (CSMs), through integrating cross-sphere interactions among the atmosphere, ocean, land, and cryosphere, have emerged as pivotal tools for deciphering climate dynamics and improving forecasting capabilities. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Chenguang Zhou , Lei Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Bo Lu , Hao Li , Libo Wu , Jie Wu , Jiahui Hu , Zesheng Dou , Pang-Chi Hsu , Xiaoye Zhang
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