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Numerical hydrodynamical simulations are used to predict the expected absorption properties of the Lyman-Alpha forest for a variety of Cold Dark Matter dominated cosmological scenarios: CHDM, OCDM, LCDM, SCDM, and tCDM. Synthetic spectra…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 A. Meiksin , G. Bryan , M. Machacek

Data assimilation procedures have been developed for thermospheric models using satellite density measurements as part of the EU Framework Package 7 ATMOP Project. Two models were studied; one a general circulation model, TIEGCM, and the…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-05-15 Sophie A. Murray , Edmund M. Henley , David R. Jackson , Sean L. Bruinsma

We present the CIENS dataset, which contains ensemble weather forecasts from the operational convection-permitting numerical weather prediction model of the German Weather Service. It comprises forecasts for 55 meteorological variables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-07 Sebastian Lerch , Benedikt Schulz , Reinhold Hess , Annette Möller , Cristina Primo , Sebastian Trepte , Susanne Theis

Global climate models aim to reproduce physical processes on a global scale and predict quantities such as temperature given some forcing inputs. We consider climate ensembles made of collections of such runs with different initial…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Stefano Castruccio , Michael L. Stein

Climate models struggle to accurately simulate precipitation, particularly extremes and the diurnal cycle. Here, we present a hybrid model that is trained directly on satellite-based precipitation observations. Our model runs at 2.8$^\circ$…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-17 Janni Yuval , Ian Langmore , Dmitrii Kochkov , Stephan Hoyer

Recent experimental works demonstrated that the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) hypothesis, embodied in a series of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) global climate models, is erroneous. These works prove that atmospheric…

General Physics · Physics 2014-05-16 Igor Khmelinskii , Peter Stallinga

Large ensembles of climate projections are essential for characterizing uncertainty in future climate and extreme weather events, yet computational constraints of numerical climate models limit ensemble sizes to a small number of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Francesco Immorlano , Elijah Tavares , Felix Draxler , Padhraic Smyth , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

Unveiling the thermal history of the intergalactic medium (IGM) at $4 \leq z \leq 5$ holds the potential to reveal early onset HeII reionization or lingering thermal fluctuations from HI reionization. We set out to reconstruct the IGM gas…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-10 Fahad Nasir , Prakash Gaikwad , Frederick B. Davies , James S. Bolton , Ewald Puchwein , Sarah E. I. Bosman

In the first part of our study, we demonstrated how a simple physical benchmark model can be used to assess assumptions of the conceptual models, based on a lumped Probability Distributed Model (PDM) formulated by Lamb (1999). In this…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-12-05 Piotr Morawiecki , Philippe H. Trinh

Global warming, the phenomenon of increasing global average temperature in the recent decades, is receiving wide attention due to its very significant adverse effects on climate. Whether global warming will continue even in the future, is a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Since model bias and associated initialization shock are serious shortcomings that reduce prediction skills in state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction efforts, we pursue a complementary machine-learning-based approach to climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Xihaier Luo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Wei Xu , Shinjae Yoo

Accurate multi-decadal wind power predictions are crucial for sustainable energy transitions but are challenged by the coarse spatial resolution of global climate models (GCMs). This study examines the impact of spatial resolution on wind…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-22 Sofia Morelli

We write a nonlinear model that predicts the climate (temperature and humidity) on the surface of a small region on Earth, perform numerical investigations using the model, and compare the results to real climate on a variety of regions on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-24 Gabriele Di Bona , Andrea Giacobbe

Systematic biases in General Circulation Model (GCM) outputs limit their direct applicability in regional planning, making bias correction a technically demanding but necessary step for both short-term and long-term impact assessment.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Kamlesh Sawadekar , Seth McGinnis , Peijun Li , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

The predictions of hadronic interaction models for cosmic-ray induced air showers contain inherent uncertainties due to limitations of available accelerator data. This leads to differences in shower simulations using each of those models.…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-02-18 Benedetta Bruno , Rodrigo Guedes Lang , Luan Bonneau Arbeletche , Vitor de Souza , Stefan Funk

Climate models encapsulate our best understanding of the Earth system, allowing research to be conducted on its future under alternative assumptions of how human-driven climate forces are going to evolve. An important application of climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-14 Alexis Ayala , Christopher Drazic , Brian Hutchinson , Ben Kravitz , Claudia Tebaldi

AI models have emerged as potential complements to physics-based models, but their skill in capturing observed regional climate trends with important societal impacts has not been explored. Here, we benchmark satellite-era regional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-05 Katharine Rucker , Ian Baxter , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Tiffany A. Shaw , Hamid A. Pahlavan

Cosmic rays impacting on the atmosphere cause particle-showers. Several descriptions exist for the evolution of the shower size along the atmospheric depth. The well known functions for shower profiles, Greisen, Gaisser-Hillas and `Gaussian…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-05-28 J. M. C. Montanus

Global medium-range weather forecasts suffer occasional failures, often linked to tropical cyclones (TCs). We investigate TC influences on extratropical predictability by comparing forecasts from a physics-based model (ECMWF-IFS) and an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-11 Gan Zhang

Accurate and high-resolution Earth system model (ESM) simulations are essential to assess the ecological and socio-economic impacts of anthropogenic climate change, but are computationally too expensive to be run at sufficiently high…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-27 Philipp Hess , Michael Aich , Baoxiang Pan , Niklas Boers
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