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Deep generative models have shown tremendous capability in data density estimation and data generation from finite samples. While these models have shown impressive performance by learning correlations among features in the data, some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Aneesh Komanduri , Xintao Wu , Yongkai Wu , Feng Chen

Observational data in medicine arise as a result of the complex interaction between patients and the healthcare system. The sampling process is often highly irregular and itself constitutes an informative process. When using such data to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Vincent Jeanselme , Glen Martin , Niels Peek , Matthew Sperrin , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Medical professionals evaluating alternative treatment plans for a patient often encounter time varying confounders, or covariates that affect both the future treatment assignment and the patient outcome. The recently proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Garima Gupta , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Foundation models refer to architectures trained on vast datasets using autoregressive pre-training from natural language processing to capture intricate patterns and motifs. They were originally developed to transfer such learned knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Nicholas I-Hsien Kuo , Blanca Gallego , Louisa Jorm

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown remarkable success as a framework for training models to produce realistic-looking data. In this work, we propose a Recurrent GAN (RGAN) and Recurrent Conditional GAN (RCGAN) to produce…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-05 Cristóbal Esteban , Stephanie L. Hyland , Gunnar Rätsch

Estimation of treatment efficacy of real-world clinical interventions involves working with continuous outcomes such as time-to-death, re-hospitalization, or a composite event that may be subject to censoring. Counterfactual reasoning in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Chirag Nagpal , Mononito Goswami , Keith Dufendach , Artur Dubrawski

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the scientific community developed predictive models to evaluate potential governmental interventions. However, the analysis of the effects these interventions had is less advanced. Here, we propose a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-09 Andres Babino , Marcelo O. Magnasco

Counterfactual estimation using synthetic controls is one of the most successful recent methodological developments in causal inference. Despite its popularity, the current description only considers time series aligned across units and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

Contrastive pretraining is well-known to improve downstream task performance and model generalisation, especially in limited label settings. However, it is sensitive to the choice of augmentation pipeline. Positive pairs should preserve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Melanie Roschewitz , Fabio De Sousa Ribeiro , Tian Xia , Galvin Khara , Ben Glocker

Medical investigations focusing on patient survival often generate not only a failure time for each patient but also a sequence of measurements on patient health at annual or semi-annual check-ups while the patient remains alive. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-18 Peter McCullagh , Walter Dempsey

Estimating what would be an individual's potential response to varying levels of exposure to a treatment is of high practical relevance for several important fields, such as healthcare, economics and public policy. However, existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Patrick Schwab , Lorenz Linhardt , Stefan Bauer , Joachim M. Buhmann , Walter Karlen

In observational studies, treatment may be adapted to covariates at several times without a fixed protocol, in continuous time. Treatment influences covariates, which influence treatment, which influences covariates, and so on. Then even…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Judith J. Lok

Causal inference is essential for developing and evaluating medical interventions, yet real-world medical datasets are often difficult to access due to regulatory barriers. This makes synthetic data a potentially valuable asset that enables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Harry Amad , Zhaozhi Qian , Dennis Frauen , Julianna Piskorz , Stefan Feuerriegel , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this paper, we explore the use of large language models to assess human interpretations of real world events. To do so, we use a language model trained prior to 2020 to artificially generate news articles concerning COVID-19 given the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Sil Hamilton , Andrew Piper

The COVID-19 pandemic created a deluge of questionable and contradictory scientific claims about drug efficacy -- an "infodemic" with lasting consequences for science and society. In this work, we argue that NLP models can help domain…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Daniel N. Sosa , Malavika Suresh , Christopher Potts , Russ B. Altman

Clinical practice in psychiatry is burdened with the increased demand for healthcare services and the scarce resources available. New paradigms of health data powered with machine learning techniques could open the possibility to improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Juan Sebastian Canas , Francisco Gomez , Omar Costilla-Reyes

Counterfactuals have become a popular technique nowadays for interacting with black-box machine learning models and understanding how to change a particular instance to obtain a desired outcome from the model. However, most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Philip Naumann , Eirini Ntoutsi

Estimating treatment effects over time holds significance in various domains, including precision medicine, epidemiology, economy, and marketing. This paper introduces a unique approach to counterfactual regression over time, emphasizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Mouad El Bouchattaoui , Myriam Tami , Benoit Lepetit , Paul-Henry Cournède

Introduction: Real-world data generated from clinical practice can be used to analyze the real-world evidence (RWE) of COVID-19 pharmacotherapy and validate the results of randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Machine learning (ML) methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Aurelia Bustos , Patricio Mas_Serrano , Mari L. Boquera , Jose M. Salinas

Accurate predictive models are crucial for analysing COVID-19 mortality trends. This study evaluates the impact of a custom data preprocessing pipeline on ten machine learning models predicting COVID-19 mortality using data from Our World…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Sangita Das , Subhrajyoti Maji