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Managing infectious diseases is a world public health issue, plagued by uncertainties. In this paper, we analyze the problem of viable control of a dengue outbreak under uncertainty. For this purpose, we develop a controlled Ross-Macdonald…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Lilian Sofia Salcedo Sepulveda , Michel De Lara

Mosquito vector competence is usually represented as a process in which once virus is detected in saliva, mosquitoes are assumed to remain infectious for life, implying an irreversible transition to the transmitting state. However, some…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-30 Léa Loisel , Tristan Monrocq , Vincent Raquin , Pauline Ezanno , Gaël Beaunée

With approximately half of the world's population at risk of contracting dengue, this mosquito-borne disease is of global concern. International travellers significantly contribute to dengue's rapid and large-scale spread by importing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Jessica Liebig , Cassie Jansen , Dean Paini , Lauren Gardner , Raja Jurdak

Age at infection is often an important factor in epidemic dynamics. In this paper a disease transmission model of SIS type with age dependent infection on a heterogeneous network is discussed. The model allows the infectious rate and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Shanshan Chen , Michael Small , Yizhou Tao , Xinchu Fu

The resurgence of vector-borne diseases is an increasing public health concern, and there is a need for a better understanding of their dynamics. For a number of diseases, e.g. dengue and chikungunya, this resurgence occurs mostly in urban…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-14 Abderrahman Iggidr , Gauthier Sallet , Max O. Souza

Epidemiological models increasingly rely on self-reported behavioral data such as vaccination status, mask usage, and social distancing adherence to forecast disease transmission and assess the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Bud Mishra , Naren Ramakrishnan

We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Francesca Scarabel , Harry Coldwell , Tyler Cassidy

Community involvement and the preventive behavior of households are considered to be at the heart of vector-control strategies. In this work, we consider a simple theoretical model that enables us to take into account human behaviors that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Y. Dumont , J. Thuilliez

We investigate a time-dependent spatial vector-host epidemic model with non-coincident domains for the vector and host populations. The host population resides in small non-overlapping sub-regions, while the vector population resides…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-12 W. E. Fitzgibbon , J. J. Morgan , Glenn F. Webb , Yixiang Wu

Malaria is one of the deadliest infectious diseases globally, causing hundreds of thousands of deaths each year. It disproportionately affects young children, with two-thirds of fatalities occurring in under-fives. Individuals acquire…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-07 Zhuolin Qu , Denis Patterson , Lauren Childs , Christina Edholm , Joan Ponce , Olivia Prosper , Lihong Zhao

Mosquitoes are vectors of many human diseases. In particular, Aedes \ae gypti (Linnaeus) is the main vector for Chikungunya, Dengue, and Zika viruses in Latin America and it represents a global threat. Public health policies that aim at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-08 J. M. Scavuzzo , F. Trucco , M. Espinosa , C. B. Tauro , M. Abril , C. M. Scavuzzo , A. C. Frery

We study a stochastic epidemic model with multiple patches (locations), where individuals in each patch are categorized into three compartments, Susceptible, Infected and Recovered/Removed, and may migrate from one patch to another in any…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

Quarantine of those individuals who are suspected of being infected is one of the intervention measures to contain the spread of an infectious disease. We propose an age structured SEQIR (S-Susceptible, E-Exposed, Q-Quarantine, I-Infected,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Manoj Kumar , Syed Abbas

We present a stochastic epidemic model to study the effect of various preventive measures, such as uniform reduction of contacts and transmission, vaccination, isolation, screening and contact tracing, on a disease outbreak in a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba , Tom Britton

The waning of immunity after recovery or vaccination is a major factor accounting for the severity and prolonged duration of an array of epidemics, ranging from COVID-19 to diphtheria and pertussis. To study the effectiveness of different…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Shoshana Elgart

In the last two decades dengue cases increased significantly throughout the world. In several regions dengue re-emerged, particularly in Latin America, where dengue cases not only increased but also occurred more frequently. It is therefore…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-12 Javier Armando Gutierrez , Karina Laneri , Juan Pablo Aparicio , Gustavo Javier Sibona

Dengue is a vector-borne disease transmitted by the mosquito Aedes aegypti. It has been observed that its incidence is strongly influenced by temperature and other abiotic factors like rainfall and humidity. In this work we compare the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-23 Emilene Pliego Pliego , Jorge Velazquez-Castro , Andres Fraguela-Collar

Epidemiological models may give some basic guidelines for public health practitioners, allowing to analyze issues that can influence the strategies to prevent and fight a disease. To be used in decision-making, however, a mathematical model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-15 Helena Sofia Rodrigues , M. Teresa T. Monteiro , Delfim F. M. Torres

The introduction of Wolbachia-carrying mosquitoes into the population has recently been proposed as an alternative strategy against dengue. Although laboratory experiments have shown that the Wolbachia bacterium can reduce the levels of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-13 Meksianis Z. Ndii

Historically, infectious diseases caused considerable damage to human societies, and they continue to do so today. To help reduce their impact, mathematical models of disease transmission have been studied to help understand disease…

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