English

Spatial Models of Vector-Host Epidemics with Directed Movement of Vectors Over Long Distances

Analysis of PDEs 2018-09-12 v1 Populations and Evolution

Abstract

We investigate a time-dependent spatial vector-host epidemic model with non-coincident domains for the vector and host populations. The host population resides in small non-overlapping sub-regions, while the vector population resides throughout a much larger region. The dynamics of the populations are modeled by a reaction-diffusion-advection compartmental system of partial differential equations. The disease is transmitted through vector and host populations in criss-cross fashion. We establish global well-posedness and uniform a prior bounds as well as the long-term behavior. The model is applied to simulate the outbreak of bluetongue disease in sheep transmitted by midges infected with bluetongue virus. We show that the long-range directed movement of the midge population, due to wind-aided movement, enhances the transmission of the disease to sheep in distant sites.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1809.03581,
  title  = {Spatial Models of Vector-Host Epidemics with Directed Movement of Vectors Over Long Distances},
  author = {W. E. Fitzgibbon and J. J. Morgan and Glenn F. Webb and Yixiang Wu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1809.03581},
  year   = {2018}
}