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We investigate an epidemic model based on Bailey's continuous differential system. In the continuous time domain, we extend the classical model to time-dependent coefficients and present an alternative solution method to Gleissner's…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Martin Bohner , Sabrina Streipert , Delfim F. M. Torres

We propose a nonstandard finite difference scheme for the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) continuous model. We prove that our discretized system is dynamically consistent with its continuous counterpart and we derive its exact solution.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Márcia Lemos-Silva , Sandra Vaz , Delfim F. M. Torres

We propose a new dynamic SIR model that, in contrast with the available model on time scales, is biological relevant. For the new SIR model we obtain an explicit solution, we prove the asymptotic stability of the extinction and disease-free…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-14 Márcia Lemos-Silva , Sandra Vaz , Delfim F. M. Torres

The susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model describes the evolution of three species of individuals which are subject to an infection and recovery mechanism. A susceptible $S$ can become infectious with an infection rate $\beta$ by an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-06-30 Gunter M. Schütz , Marian Brandau , Steffen Trimper

The exact analytical solution in closed form of a modified SIR system where recovered individuals are removed from the population is presented. In this dynamical system the populations $S(t)$ and $R(t)$ of susceptible and recovered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-11 Angel Ballesteros , Alfonso Blasco , Ivan Gutierrez-Sagredo

In this paper, we study the effectiveness of the modelling approach on the pandemic due to the spreading of the novel COVID-19 disease and develop a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model that provides a theoretical framework to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos

In this paper, we propose a Susceptible-Infected-Removal (SIR) model with time fused coefficients. In particular, our proposed model discovers the underlying time homogeneity pattern for the SIR model's transmission rate and removal rate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-11 Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue , Yuqing Pan , Qingyang Liu , Guanyu Hu

Compartmental transmission models have become an invaluable tool to study the dynamics of infectious diseases. The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model is known to have an exact semi-analytical solution. In the current study, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-03 Kevin Heng , Christian L. Althaus

We present an algebraic solution for the Susceptible-Infective-Removed (SIR) model originally presented by Kermack-McKendrick in 1927. Starting from the differential equation for the removed subjects presented by them in the original paper,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-19 Alexsandro M. Carvalho , Sebastian Gonçalves

The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model is the canonical model of epidemics of infections that make people immune upon recovery. Many of the open questions in computational epidemiology concern the underlying contact structure's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-09 Petter Holme

Exact solution of the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model is derived, and various properties of solution are obtained directly from the exact solution. It is shown that there exists an exact solution of an initial value…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-04 Norio Yoshida

We present an exact analytical solution to a one-dimensional model of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic type, with infection rates dependent on nearest-neighbor occupations. We use a quantum mechanical approach, transforming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-30 H. Thomas Williams , Irina Mazilu , Dan Mazilu

Throughout human history, epidemics have been a constant presence. Understanding their dynamics is essential to predict scenarios and make substantiated decisions. Mathematical models are powerful tools to describe an epidemic behavior.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-26 Walter HMendes aselein , Diego Eckhard

The classic SIR model of epidemic dynamics is solved completely by quadratures, including a time integral transform expanded in a series of incomplete gamma functions. The model is also generalized to arbitrary time-dependent infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-07 E. Sadurní , G. Luna-Acosta

The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-27 William G. Faris

Compartmental models are popular in the mathematics of epidemiology for their simplicity and wide range of applications. Although they are typically solved as initial value problems for a system of ordinary differential equations, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Eduard Campillo-Funollet , Hayley Wragg , James Van Yperen , Duc-Lam Duong , Anotida Madzvamuse

We consider state and parameter estimation for compartmental models having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. Though the described Bayesian computational framework is general, we look at a specific application to the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Brandon Robinson , Philippe Bisaillon , Jodi D. Edwards , Tetyana Kendzerska , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

In this paper, the exact analytical solution of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model is obtained in a parametric form. By using the exact solution we investigate some explicit models corresponding to fixed values of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-24 Tiberiu Harko , Francisco S. N. Lobo , M. K. Mak

The Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model is applied in several countries to ascertain the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We consider discrete-time SEIR epidemic model in a closed system which does not…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-04 U. A. Rozikov , S. K. Shoyimardonov
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