The SIR model of an epidemic
Dynamical Systems
2021-04-27 v1
Abstract
The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion and the infected proportion . After normalizing the time variable there is only one remaining parameter. This largely expository article is mainly about aspects of this model that can be understood with calculus. It also discusses an alternative exactly solvable model that appeared in early work of Kermack and McKendrick. This model may be obtained by replacing factors by factors. For a mild epidemic, where is decreasing from 1 but remains fairly close to 1, this is a reasonable approximation.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2104.12029,
title = {The SIR model of an epidemic},
author = {William G. Faris},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2104.12029},
year = {2021}
}
Comments
15 pages, 5 figures