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Related papers: Exact solution for a quantum SIR model

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A physics-informed neural network (PINN) embedded with the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model is devised to understand the temporal evolution dynamics of infectious diseases. Firstly, the effectiveness of this approach is demonstrated…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Horst Stoecker , Lingxiao Wang , Kai Zhou

The rapidly spreading Covid-19 that affected almost all countries, was first reported at the end of 2019. As a consequence of its highly infectious nature, countries all over the world have imposed extremely strict measures to control its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-13 Semra Ahmetolan , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Ali Demirci , Ayse Peker-Dobie , Onder Ergonul

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need to improve the modeling, estimation, and prediction of how infectious diseases spread. SEIR-like models have been particularly successful in providing accurate short-term predictions. This study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-31 Jorge P. Zubelli , Jennifer Loria , Vinicius V. L. Albani

We examine the age-structured SIR model, a variant of the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic propagation, in the context of COVID-19. In doing so, we provide a theoretical basis for the model, perform an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Rohit Parasnis , Ryosuke Kato , Amol Sakhale , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

The growing literature on the propagation of COVID-19 relies on various dynamic SIR-type models (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) which yield model-dependent results. For transparency and ease of comparing the results, we introduce a common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-19 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

This paper proposes a novel discrete-time multi-virus susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model that captures the spread of competing epidemics over a population network. First, we provide sufficient conditions for the infection level of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-17 Ciyuan Zhang , Sebin Gracy , Tamer Basar , Philip E. Pare

Compartmental models (written as $CM$) and agent-based models (written as $AM$) are dominant methods in the field of epidemic simulation. But in the literature there lacks discussion on how to build the \textbf{quantitative relationship}…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Boyan Xu

The dramatic outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemics and its ongoing progression boosted the scientific community's interest in epidemic modeling and forecasting. The SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removed) model is a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Dimiter Prodanov

We study the minimum eradication time problem for controlled Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic models that incorporate vaccination control and time-varying infected and recovery rates. Unlike the SIR model with constant rates,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Jiwoong Jang , Yeoneung Kim

This work examines the discrete-time networked SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model, where the infection and recovery parameters may be time-varying. We provide a sufficient condition for the SIR model to converge to the set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-01 Ciyuan Zhang , Humphrey Leung , Brooks Butler , Philip. E. Paré

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

We present a data-driven optimal control approach which integrates the reported partial data with the epidemic dynamics for COVID-19. We use a basic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model, the model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Hailiang Liu , Xuping Tian

Within the likes of any highly contagious and unpredictable disease, lies a predictable and attainable growth rate that researchers can find in order to make logistical conclusions about that particular disease and its affected regions'…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-05 Julian Bennett , Lauren Eriksen , Xingjie Helen Li

We consider the SIR model and study the first time the number of infected individuals begins to decrease and the first time this population is below a given threshold. We interpret these times as functions of the initial susceptible and…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Ryan Hynd , Dennis Ikpe , Terrance Pendleton

In this work, the SIR epidemiological model is reformulated so to highlight the important {\em effective reproduction number}, as well as to account for the {\em generation time}, inverse of the {\em incidence rate}, and the {\em infectious…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-27 Ignazio Lazzizzera

In this article a space-dependent epidemic model equipped with a constant latency period is examined. We construct a delay partial integro-differential equation and show that its solution possesses some biologically reasonable features. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-02 B. Takács , I. Faragó , R. Horváth , D. Repovš

In this study, we present an integro-differential model to simulate the local spread of infections. The model incorporates a standard susceptible-infected-recovered (\textit{SIR}-) model enhanced by an integral kernel, allowing for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Moritz Schäfer , Karol Niedzielewski , Thomas Götz , Tyll Krüger

In this paper, we propose a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, in which each node is assigned with an identical capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step. In contrast to the previous studies, we find that on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Zhi-Wen Shi , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou

Since December 2019, A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) has been breaking out in China, which can cause respiratory diseases and severe pneumonia. Mathematical and empirical models relying on the epidemic situation scale for forecasting…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-05 Jingyuan Wang , Xin Lin , Yuxi Liu , Qilegeri , Kai Feng , Hui Lin

Exact solutions of the SEIR epidemic model are derived, and various properties of solutions are obtained directly from the exact solution. In this paper Abel differential equations play an important role in establishing the exact solution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-03 Norio Yoshida