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Near real-time damage diagnosis of building structures after extreme events (e.g., earthquakes) is of great importance in structural health monitoring. Unlike conventional methods that are usually time-consuming and require human expertise,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-25 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang

Machine learning is becoming increasingly important in scientific and technological progress, due to its ability to create models that describe complex data and generalize well. The wealth of publicly-available seismic data nowadays…

The ETAS model is widely employed to model the spatio-temporal distribution of earthquakes, generally using spatially invariant parameters. We propose an efficient method for the estimation of spatially varying parameters, using the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-06-28 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Stefan Wiemer , Didier Sornette

Investment in measuring a process more completely or accurately is only useful if these improvements can be utilised during modelling and inference. We consider how improvements to data quality over time can be incorporated when selecting a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Zak Varty , Jonathan A. Tawn , Peter M. Atkinson , Stijn Bierman

A method that exactly knows the earthquakes beforehand and can generalize them cannot still been developed. However, earthquakes are tried to be predicted through numerous methods. One of these methods, artificial neural networks give…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-05 Handan Cam , Osman Duman

For historical buildings and monuments, i.e. when considering time intervals of about a million year (we do not want to loose cultural heritage), the applicability of standard estimates of seismic hazard is really questionable. A viable…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-11-10 Fabio Romanelli , Franco Vaccari

We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M$ in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time $\tau_0$. As a…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. Livina , S. Tuzov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

In this work, it is demonstrated that the Earth's preseismic electric field, which is registered by a pair of electrodes in contact to the ground surface at certain distance from the epicentral area, corresponds to the gradient of the total…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-06-03 C. Thanassoulas

We quantify the correlation between earthquakes and use the same to distinguish between relevant causally connected earthquakes. Our correlation metric is a variation on the one introduced by Baiesi and Paczuski (2004). A network of…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 T. R. Krishna Mohan , P. G. Revathi

Earthquake occurrence in nature is thought to result from correlated elastic stresses, leading to clustering in space and time. We show that occurrence of major earthquakes in California correlates with time intervals when fluctuations in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 James R. Holliday , John B. Rundle , Donald L. Turcotte , William Klein , Kristy F. Tiampo

In section 2, we introduce fundamental concepts of GR concerning the measurement of time, relativistic reference systems and we review the recent literature of chronometric geodesy. In section 3 we introduce the theory of frequency standard…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-03-06 P. Delva , H. Denker , G. Lion

We analyze regional earthquake energy statistics from the Southern California and Japan seismic catalogs and find scale-invariant energy distributions characterized by an exponent $\tau \simeq 1.67$. To quantify how closely scale-invariant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-22 K. Duplat , G. Varas , O. Ramos

We present an axiomatic approach to earthquake forecasting in terms of multi-component random fields on a lattice. This approach provides a method for constructing point estimates and confidence intervals for conditional probabilities of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-10-29 V. Gertsik , M. Kelbert , A. Krichevets

Earthquakes cannot be predicted with precision, but algorithms exist for intermediate-term middle range prediction of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold, based on seismicity patterns. Few years ago, a first attempt was made in the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-07 G. F. Panza , A. Peresan , F. Sansò , M. Crespi , A. Mazzoni , A. Nascetti

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) aims to prospectively test time-dependent earthquake probability forecasts on their consistency with observations. To compete, time-dependent seismicity models are…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 M. J. Werner , D. Sornette

A prominent feature of earthquakes is their empirical laws including memory (clustering) in time and space. Several earthquake forecasting models, like the EpidemicType Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, were developed based on earthquake…

Tunguska and Chelyabinsk impact events occurred inside a geographical area of only 3.4\% of the Earth's surface. Although two events hardly constitute a statistically significant demonstration of a geographical pattern of impacts, their…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-16 Jorge I. Zuluaga , Mario Sucerquia

We propose a new version of the ETAS model, which we also analyze theoretically. As for the standard ETAS model, we assume the Gutenberg-Richter law as a probability density function for background events' magnitude. Instead, the magnitude…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-23 Ilaria Spassiani , Giovanni Sebastiani

Earthquake prediction is one of the most pursued problems in geoscience. Different geological and seismological approaches exist for the prediction of the earthquake and its subsequent land change. However, in many cases, they fail in their…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-06-19 M. Kiani

Geoscience and seismology have utilized the most advanced technologies and equipment to monitor seismic events globally from the past few decades. With the enormous amount of data, modern GPU-powered deep learning presents a promising…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-14 Bo Feng , Geoffrey C. Fox