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Experimenters often collect baseline data to study heterogeneity. I propose the first valid confidence intervals for the VCATE, the treatment effect variance explained by observables. Conventional approaches yield incorrect coverage when…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-07 Alejandro Sanchez-Becerra

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is important to tailor treatments to those individuals who would most likely benefit. However, conditional average treatment effect predictors may often be trained on one population but possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Christoph Kern , Michael Kim , Angela Zhou

The ability of neural networks (NNs) to learn and remember multiple tasks sequentially is facing tough challenges in achieving general artificial intelligence due to their catastrophic forgetting (CF) issues. Fortunately, the latest OWM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Yanni Li , Bing Liu , Kaicheng Yao , Xiaoli Kou , Pengfan Lv , Yueshen Xu , Jiangtao Cui

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) can provide mechanistic models of temporally local changes of processes, where parameters are often informed by external knowledge. While ODEs are popular in systems modeling, they are less established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Maren Hackenberg , Astrid Pechmann , Clemens Kreutz , Janbernd Kirschner , Harald Binder

Recently, test-time adaptation has garnered attention as a method for tuning models without labeled data. The conventional modus operandi for adapting pre-trained vision-language models (VLMs) during test-time primarily focuses on tuning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Raza Imam , Asif Hanif , Jian Zhang , Khaled Waleed Dawoud , Yova Kementchedjhieva , Mohammad Yaqub

We study the selective learning problem introduced by Qiao and Valiant (2019), in which the learner observes $n$ labeled data points one at a time. At a time of its choosing, the learner selects a window length $w$ and a model $\hat\ell$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant

When treatment effects are naturally expressed as ratios -- as in medicine, pricing, and marketing -- the ratio-based CATE $\tau(x) = E[Y|W=1,X=x] / E[Y|W=0,X=x]$ is the appropriate estimand. Yet existing estimators either impose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-27 Michael Fuchs , Dominik Kreiss

The widespread application of Electronic Health Records (EHR) data in the medical field has led to early successes in disease risk prediction using deep learning methods. These methods typically require extensive data for training due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Shibo Li , Hengliang Cheng , Weihua Li

We propose to meta-learn an a self-supervised patient trajectory forecast learning rule by meta-training on a meta-objective that directly optimizes the utility of the patient representation over the subsequent clinical outcome prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Yuan Xue , Nan Du , Anne Mottram , Martin Seneviratne , Andrew M. Dai

Reinforcement learning (RL) has made significant advancements, achieving superhuman performance in various tasks. However, RL agents often operate under the assumption of environmental stationarity, which poses a great challenge to learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Guoqing Ma , Yuhan Zhang , Yuming Dai , Guangfu Hao , Yang Chen , Shan Yu

Deep learning models have demonstrated promising results in estimating treatment effects (TEE). However, most of them overlook the variations in treatment outcomes among subgroups with distinct characteristics. This limitation hinders their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Seungyeon Lee , Ruoqi Liu , Wenyu Song , Ping Zhang

Many scientific questions require estimating the effects of continuous treatments. Outcome modeling and weighted regression based on the generalized propensity score are the most commonly used methods to evaluate continuous effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Nathan Kallus , Michele Santacatterina

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODE) have been proposed as a continuous depth generalization to popular deep learning models such as Residual networks (ResNets). They provide parameter efficiency and automate the model selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Srinivas Anumasa , P. K. Srijith

Pretraining methods gain increasing attraction recently for solving PDEs with neural operators. It alleviates the data scarcity problem encountered by neural operator learning when solving single PDE via training on large-scale datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Tian Wang , Chuang Wang

Transfer learning is an emerging paradigm for leveraging multiple sources to improve the statistical inference on a single target. In this paper, we propose a novel approach named residual importance weighted transfer learning (RIW-TL) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-04 Junlong Zhao , Shengbin Zheng , Chenlei Leng

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) provide a powerful framework for modeling dynamic systems arising in a wide range of scientific domains. However, most existing ODE methods focus on a single system, and do not adequately address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Shuoxun Xu , Zijian Guo , Brooke R. Staveland , Robert T. Knight , Lexin Li

Meta learning is a promising technique for solving few-shot fault prediction problems, which have attracted the attention of many researchers in recent years. Existing meta-learning methods for time series prediction, which predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Hai Su , Jiajun Hu , Songsen Yu

Koopman spectral analysis has attracted attention for nonlinear dynamical systems since we can analyze nonlinear dynamics with a linear regime by embedding data into a Koopman space by a nonlinear function. For the analysis, we need to find…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-10 Tomoharu Iwata , Yoshinobu Kawahara

Understanding the effects of quarantine policies in populations with underlying social networks is crucial for public health, yet most causal inference methods fail here due to their assumption of independent individuals. We introduce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Suhan Guo , Furao Shen , Ni Li

Double machine learning provides $\sqrt{n}$-consistent estimates of parameters of interest even when high-dimensional or nonparametric nuisance parameters are estimated at an $n^{-1/4}$ rate. The key is to employ Neyman-orthogonal moment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Ilias Zadik