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In model-based reinforcement learning, most algorithms rely on simulating trajectories from one-step models of the dynamics learned on data. A critical challenge of this approach is the compounding of one-step prediction errors as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Abdelhakim Benechehab , Albert Thomas , Giuseppe Paolo , Maurizio Filippone , Balázs Kégl

We consider the problem of learning the parameters of a $N$-dimensional stochastic linear dynamics under both full and partial observations from a single trajectory of time $T$. We introduce and analyze a new estimator that achieves a small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-08 Minh Vu , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Vuffray

Data-driven control strategies for dynamical systems with unknown parameters are popular in theory and applications. An essential problem is to prevent stochastic linear systems becoming destabilized, due to the uncertainty of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

We present a general framework for classifying partially observed dynamical systems based on the idea of learning in the model space. In contrast to the existing approaches using model point estimates to represent individual data items, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-19 Yuan Shen , Peter Tino , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova

Recently there has been substantial interest in spectral methods for learning dynamical systems. These methods are popular since they often offer a good tradeoff between computational and statistical efficiency. Unfortunately, they can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-05 Ahmed Hefny , Carlton Downey , Geoffrey Gordon

Stochastic differential equations can describe a wide range of dynamical systems, and obtaining the governing equations of these systems is the premise of studying the nonlinear dynamic behavior of the system. Neural networks are currently…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Xiao-Kai An , Lin Du , Zi-Chen Deng , Yu-jia Zhang

Estimation of parameters is a crucial part of model development. When models are deterministic, one can minimise the fitting error; for stochastic systems one must be more careful. Broadly parameterisation methods for stochastic dynamical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Asbjørn N. Riseth , Jake P. Taylor-King

We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Lea Duncker , Gergo Bohner , Julien Boussard , Maneesh Sahani

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

Many systems in physics, engineering, and biology exhibit multiscale stochastic dynamics, where low-dimensional slow variables evolve under the influence of high-dimensional fast processes. In practice, observations are often limited to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Anan Saha , Arnab Ganguly

System identification aims to build models of dynamical systems from data. Traditionally, choosing the model requires the designer to balance between two goals of conflicting nature; the model must be rich enough to capture the system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-09 Antônio H. Ribeiro , Johannes N. Hendriks , Adrian G. Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Discovering the underlying relationships among variables from temporal observations has been a longstanding challenge in numerous scientific disciplines, including biology, finance, and climate science. The dynamics of such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Benjie Wang , Joel Jennings , Wenbo Gong

A tutorial review is given of some developments and applications of stochastic processes from the point of view of the practicioner physicist. The index is the following: 1.- Introduction 2.- Stochastic Processes 3.- Transient Stochastic…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Maxi San Miguel , Raul Toral

Efficient skill acquisition, representation, and on-line adaptation to different scenarios has become of fundamental importance for assistive robotic applications. In the past decade, dynamical systems (DS) have arisen as a flexible and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Matteo Saveriano , Dongheui Lee

A critical challenge in the data-driven modeling of dynamical systems is producing methods robust to measurement error, particularly when data is limited. Many leading methods either rely on denoising prior to learning or on access to large…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Samuel H. Rudy , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton

In this work, we study dynamic programming (DP) algorithms for partially observable Markov decision processes with jointly continuous and discrete state-spaces. We consider a class of stochastic systems which have coupled discrete and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Donghwan Lee , Niao He , Jianghai Hu

We present a mathematical and computational framework for the problem of learning a dynamical system from noisy observations of a few trajectories and subject to side information. Side information is any knowledge we might have about the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Amir Ali Ahmadi , Bachir El Khadir

How can we learn the laws underlying the dynamics of stochastic systems when their trajectories are sampled sparsely in time? Existing methods either require temporally resolved high-frequency observations, or rely on geometric arguments…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Dimitra Maoutsa

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister
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