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We compare two approaches to the predictive modeling of dynamical systems from partial observations at discrete times. The first is continuous in time, where one uses data to infer a model in the form of stochastic differential equations,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-08 Fei Lu , Kevin K. Lin , Alexandre J. Chorin

Combining model-based and model-free learning systems has been shown to improve the sample efficiency of learning to perform complex robotic tasks. However, dual-system approaches fail to consider the reliability of the learned model when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Muhammad Burhan Hafez , Cornelius Weber , Matthias Kerzel , Stefan Wermter

We present a method to learn mean residence time and escape probability from data modeled by stochastic differential equations. This method is a combination of machine learning from data (to extract stochastic differential equations as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Dengfeng Wu , Miaomiao Fu , Jinqiao Duan

Macroscopic dynamical descriptions of complex physical systems are crucial for understanding and controlling material behavior. With the growing availability of data and compute, machine learning has become a promising alternative to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Mengyi Chen , Pengru Huang , Kostya S. Novoselov , Qianxiao Li

Multi-stage stochastic programming is a well-established framework for sequential decision making under uncertainty by seeking policies that are fully adapted to the uncertainty. Often such flexible policies are not desirable, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Beste Basciftci , Shabbir Ahmed , Nagi Gebraeel

We show that a neural network originally designed for language processing can learn the dynamical rules of a stochastic system by observation of a single dynamical trajectory of the system, and can accurately predict its emergent behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-18 Corneel Casert , Isaac Tamblyn , Stephen Whitelam

This work introduces a neural architecture for learning forward models of stochastic environments. The task is achieved solely through learning from temporal unstructured observations in the form of images. Once trained, the model allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Marian Andrecki , Nicholas K. Taylor

The dynamics of biological systems, from proteins to cells to organisms, is complex and stochastic. To decipher their physical laws, we need to bridge between experimental observations and theoretical modeling. Thanks to progress in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-06-05 Pierre Ronceray

We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

We present a numerical method to learn an accurate predictive model for an unknown stochastic dynamical system from its trajectory data. The method seeks to approximate the unknown flow map of the underlying system. It employs the idea of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhongshu Xu , Yuan Chen , Qifan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Learning or identifying dynamics from a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a difficult challenge in many domains, including reinforcement learning and control. The problem has recently been studied from a generative perspective…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Oliver Limoyo , Bryan Chan , Filip Marić , Brandon Wagstaff , Rupam Mahmood , Jonathan Kelly

Noise is usually regarded as adversarial to extract the effective dynamics from time series, such that the conventional data-driven approaches usually aim at learning the dynamics by mitigating the noisy effect. However, noise can have a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-12 Zequn Lin , Zhaofan Lu , Zengru Di , Ying Tang

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

We propose a dual-channel reservoir-computing scheme for inferring the dynamics of two distinct chaotic systems with a single machine. By augmenting a standard reservoir with a system-label channel and a parameter-control channel, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-30 Jianmin Guo , Yao Du , Yizhen Yu , Yong Zou , Xingang Wang

We introduce a proximal version of the stochastic dual coordinate ascent method and show how to accelerate the method using an inner-outer iteration procedure. We analyze the runtime of the framework and obtain rates that improve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-09 Shai Shalev-Shwartz , Tong Zhang

Based on the physics of stochastic processes we present a new approach for structural health monitoring. We show that the new method allows for an in-situ analysis of the elastic features of a mechanical structure even for realistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-08 Philip Rinn , Hendrik Heißelmann , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke

Many consequential real-world systems, like wind fields and ocean currents, are dynamic and hard to model. Learning their governing dynamics remains a central challenge in scientific machine learning. Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Yujin Kim , Sarah Dean

This is the third part of a series of studies that model the target trajectory, which describes the target state evolution over continuous time, as a sample path of a stochastic process (SP). By adopting a deterministic-stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-13 Tiancheng Li , Jingyuan Wang , Guchong Li , Dengwei Gao