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Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems can undergo rapid transitions relative to the change in their forcing, for example due to the occurrence of multiple equilibrium solutions for a specific interval of parameters. In this paper, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-12 S. Baars , D. Castellana , F. W. Wubs , H. A. Dijkstra

In this thesis we consider stochastic resonance for a diffusion with drift given by a potential, which has two metastable states and two pathways between them. Depending on the direction of the forcing the height of the two barriers, one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Tommy Liu

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

In this paper, we first analyze the strong and weak convergence of projective integration methods for multiscale stochastic dynamical systems driven by $\alpha$-stable processes, which are used to estimate the effect that the fast…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Yanjie Zhang , Xiao Wang , Zibo Wang , Jinqiao Duan

Learning a stable Linear Dynamical System (LDS) from data involves creating models that both minimize reconstruction error and enforce stability of the learned representation. We propose a novel algorithm for learning stable LDSs. Using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Giorgos Mamakoukas , Orest Xherija , T. D. Murphey

In trajectory forecasting tasks for traffic, future output trajectories can be computed by advancing the ego vehicle's state with predicted actions according to a kinematics model. By unrolling predicted trajectories via time integration…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Laura Zheng , Sanghyun Son , Jing Liang , Xijun Wang , Brian Clipp , Ming C. Lin

This paper addresses the question of whether it can be beneficial for an optimization algorithm to follow directions of negative curvature. Although prior work has established convergence results for algorithms that integrate both descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Frank E. Curtis , Daniel P. Robinson

We present a scheme for sequential decision making with a risk-sensitive objective and constraints in a dynamic environment. A neural network is trained as an approximator of the mapping from parameter space to space of risk and policy with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu , Ahmet Satir

Model reduction of high-dimensional dynamical systems alleviates computational burdens faced in various tasks from design optimization to model predictive control. One popular model reduction approach is based on projecting the governing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-24 Francisco J. Gonzalez , Maciej Balajewicz

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

A general class of dynamical systems which can be trained to operate in classification and generation modes are introduced. A procedure is proposed to plant asymptotic stationary attractors of the deterministic model. Optimizing the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-15 Stefano Gagliani , Feliciano Giuseppe Pacifico , Lorenzo Chicchi , Duccio Fanelli , Diego Febbe , Lorenzo Buffoni , Raffaele Marino

Nonequilibrium statistical mechanics exhibit a variety of complex phenomena far from equilibrium. It inherits challenges of equilibrium, including accurately describing the joint distribution of a large number of configurations, and also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-08 Ying Tang , Jing Liu , Jiang Zhang , Pan Zhang

The study of adaptive dynamics, involving many degrees of freedom on two separated timescales, one for fast changes of state variables and another for the slow adaptation of parameters controlling the former's dynamics is crucial for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-18 Tuan Minh Pham , Kunihiko Kaneko

High dimensional predictive regressions are useful in wide range of applications. However, the theory is mainly developed assuming that the model is stationary with time invariant parameters. This is at odds with the prevalent evidence for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-09 Kashif Yousuf , Serena Ng

In the presence of multiscale dynamics in a reaction network, direct simulation methods become inefficient as they can only advance the system on the smallest scale. This work presents stochastic averaging techniques to accelerate…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Araz Hashemi , Marcel Nunez , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G. Vlachos

This paper presents two schemes to jointly estimate parameters and states of discrete-time nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded disturbances and noise and where the parameters belong to a known compact set. The schemes are based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 T. J. Meijer , V. S. Dolk , M. S. Chong , R. Postoyan , B. de Jager , D. Nešić , W. P. M. H. Heemels

Dimensionality reduction methods are an essential tool for multidimensional data analysis, and many interesting processes can be studied as time-dependent multivariate datasets. There are, however, few studies and proposals that leverage on…

Graphics · Computer Science 2020-02-19 E. F. Vernier , R. Garcia , I. P. da Silva , J. L. D. Comba , A. C. Telea

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

Incorporating a priori physics knowledge into machine learning leads to more robust and interpretable algorithms. In this work, we combine deep learning techniques and classic numerical methods for differential equations to address two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Caitlin Ho , Andrea Arnold

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak