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The identification of regions of similar climatological behavior can be utilized for the discovery of spatial relationships over long-range scales, including teleconnections. In this regard, the global picture of the interdependence…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-06 Zhen Su , Henning Meyerhenke , Jürgen Kurths

The winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) modulates East Asian climate and the East/Japan Sea (EJS), yet local, scale-dependent air-sea couplings linking atmosphere, ocean and sea-surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) remain unclear. Using 30 years…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Gyuchang Lim , JongJin Park

The recharge oscillator (RO) model has been successfully used to understand different aspects of the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Fitting the RO to observations and climate model simulations consistently suggests that ENSO is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-09 Elle Weeks , Eli Tziperman

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Recently we have developed a network approach, which allows…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-19 Josef Ludescher , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin , Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is the dominant mode of variability in the equatorial stratosphere. It is characterized by alternating descending easterly and westerly jets over a period of approximately 28 months. It has long been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Claire Valva , Edwin P. Gerber

We investigate a low-dimensional slow-fast model to understand the dynamical origin of El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation. A close inspection of the system dynamics using several bifurcation plots reveals that a sudden large expansion of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-23 Arnob Ray , Sarbendu Rakshit , Gopal K. Basak , Syamal K. Dana , Dibakar Ghosh

A Martian semiannual oscillation (SAO), similar to that in the Earth's tropical stratosphere, is evident in the Mars Analysis Correction Data Assimilation reanalysis dataset (MACDA) version 1.0, not only in the tropics, but also extending…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-17 Tao Ruan , Neil T. Lewis , Stephen R. Lewis , Luca Montabone , Peter L. Read

This study introduces the second version of the Integrated Climate Model (ICM). ICM is developed by the Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics to improve the short-term climate prediction of the East…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-11 Ping Huang , Lei Wang , Pengfei Wang , Zhihua Zhang , Gang Huang

The potential of extreme environmental change driven by a destabilized climate system is an alarming prospect for humanity. But the intricate, subtle ways Earth's climate couples to social and economic systems raise the question of when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Sierra Cabrera , Irina Babayan , Hazhir Aliahmadi , Dongmei Chen , Greg van Anders

The El Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) behavior can be effectively modeled as a response to a 2nd-order Mathieu/Hill differential equation with periodic coefficients describing sloshing of a volume of water. The forcing of the equation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-01 Paul R. Pukite

The Ghil-Zaliapin-Thompson (GZT) model, a scalar delay differential equation with periodic forcing and time-delayed feedback, captures key features of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. Numerical studies of the GZT model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Samuel Bolduc-St-Aubin , Antony R. Humphries

Understanding ENSO dynamics has tremendously improved over the past decades. However, one aspect still poorly understood or represented in conceptual models is the ENSO diversity in spatial pattern, peak intensity, and temporal evolution.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Yinling Zhang , Nan Chen , Jerome Vialard , Xianghui Fang

West African societies are highly dependent on the West African Monsoon (WAM).Thus, a correct representation of the WAM in climate models is of paramount importance. In this article, the ability of 8 CMIP5 historical General Circulation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-26 Iñigo Gómara , Elsa Mohino , Teresa Losada , Marta Domínguez , Roberto Suárez-Moreno , Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca

Tropical monsoons play a critical role in shaping regional and global climate systems, with profound ecological and socio-economic impacts. However, their long-term prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay of regional…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-24 Guanghao Ran , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Low-order climate models can play an important role in understanding low-frequency variability in the atmospheric circulation and how forcing consistent with anthropogenic climate change may affect this variability. Here, we study a…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-04 Bernardo Maraldi , Henk Dijkstra , Michael Ghil

Teleconnections between the tropical and the extratropical climates are often considered as a potential source of long-term predictability at seasonal to decadal time scales in the extratropics. This claim is taken up in the present work by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-17 Stephane Vannitsem

Considering the interdependencies between water and electricity use is critical for ensuring conservation measures are successful in lowering the net water and electricity use in a city. This water-electricity demand nexus will become even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Renee Obringer , Rohini Kumar , Roshanak Nateghi

This work continues the analysis of complex dynamics in a class of bidimensional nonlinear hybrid dynamical systems with resets modeling neuronal voltage dynamics with adaptation and spike emission. We show that these models can generically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Jonathan E. Rubin , Justyna Signerska-Rynkowska , Jonathan Touboul , Alexandre Vidal

The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) of stratospheric winds is the most striking example of mean-flow generation and reversal by the non-linear interactions of internal waves. Previous studies have used an idealized monochromatic forcing to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-30 Pierre Léard , Daniel Lecoanet , Michael Le Bars

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a crucial ocean current system, could transition to a weak state. Despite severe associated climate impacts, assessing the AMOC's response under global warming and its proximity to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-09 Reyk Börner , Oliver Mehling , Jost von Hardenberg , Valerio Lucarini