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Technological change is essential to balance economic growth and environmental sustainability. This study documents energy-saving technological change to understand the trends and differences therein in OECD countries. We estimate…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-14 Emiko Inoue , Hiroya Taniguchi , Ken Yamada

We consider a government that aims at reducing the debt-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of a country. The government observes the level of the debt-to-GDP ratio and an indicator of the state of the economy, but does not directly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Giorgia Callegaro , Claudia Ceci , Giorgio Ferrari

Analyzing real data on international trade covering the time interval 1950-2000, we show that in each year over the analyzed period the network is a typical representative of the ensemble of maximally random weighted networks, whose…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

We consider the sectoral composition of a country's GDP, i.e. the partitioning into agrarian, industrial, and service sectors. Exploring a simple system of differential equations we characterize the transfer of GDP shares between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-15 Raphael Lutz , Michael Spies , Dominik E. Reusser , Jürgen P. Kropp , Diego Rybski

The dependence of world GDP on current energy consumption and total energy produced over the previous period and materialized in the form of production infrastructure is studied. The dependence describes empirical data with high accuracy…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-16 Boris M. Dolgonosov

Most models that try to explain economic growth indicate exponential growth paths. In recent years, however, a lively discussion has emerged considering the validity of this notion. In the empirical literature dealing with drivers of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-06 Steffen Lange , Peter Pütz , Thomas Kopp

For those concerned with the long-term value of their accounts, it can be a challenge to plan in the present for inflation-adjusted economic growth over coming decades. Here, I argue that there exists an economic constant that carries…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-14 Timothy J. Garrett

Trade agreements are often understood as shielding commerce from fluctuations in political relations. This paper provides evidence that World Trade Organization membership reduces the penalty of political distance on trade at the extensive…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-23 Samuel Hardwick

Country instability is a global issue, with unpredictably high levels of instability thwarting socio-economic growth and possibly causing a slew of negative consequences. As a result, uncertainty prediction models for a country are becoming…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Adam Zebrowski , Haithem Afli

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-11 Philipp Koch

The issue of longevity has been long time recognized as one of key concepts in demography. A particular aspect of longevity addressed in this paper is the difference in average observed duration of life for female and male population,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-09 Toni Cosic , Roko Misetic , Hrvoje Stefancic

In recent decades, trade between nations has constituted an important component of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with official estimates showing that it likely accounted for a quarter of total global production. While evidence of…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-24 Mayank Kejriwal , Yuesheng Luo

We present an empirical analysis of the network formed by the trade relationships between all world countries, or World Trade Web (WTW). Each (directed) link is weighted by the amount of wealth flowing between two countries, and each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-02-06 D. Garlaschelli , T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , G. Caldarelli , M. I. Loffredo

Geopolitical conflicts have increasingly been a driver of trade policy. We study the potential effects of global and persistent geopolitical conflicts on trade, technological innovation, and economic growth. In conventional trade models the…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-31 Carlos Góes , Eddy Bekkers

This study explores the dynamic relationship between corruption and economic growth through an approach based on a system of stochastic equations. In the context of globalization and economic interdependencies, corruption not only affects…

This paper synthesizes evidence on climate change impacts specific to U.S. populations. We develop an apples-to-apples comparison of econometric studies that empirically estimate the relationship between climate change and gross domestic…

From the perspective developed in this paper, it can be argued that exponential population growth resulted in the exponential decrease of the life-span of consecutive stable periods during the life-span of the European international system…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-09-25 Ingo Piepers

We present a quantitative characterisation of the fluctuations of the annualized growth rate of the real US GDP per capita growth at many scales, using a wavelet transform analysis of two data sets, quarterly data from 1947 to 2015 and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-15 Sandro Lera , Didier Sornette

Ground Delay Programs (GDPs) have been widely used to resolve excessive demand-capacity imbalances at arrival airports by shifting foreseen airborne delay to pre-departure ground delay. While offering clear safety and efficiency benefits,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Ke Liu , Mark Hansen

This paper aims to present empirical analysis of Iranian economic growth from 1950 to 2018 using data from the World Bank, Madison Data Bank, Statistical Center of Iran, and Central Bank of Iran. The results show that Gross Domestic Product…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-28 Mohammadreza Mahmoudi
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