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This paper investigates the evolving dynamics of international trade, emphasizing the strategic interplay between competition and cooperation within the global trade network. It argues that competitive advantages - rather than traditional…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-25 Xingwei Hu

Every year, substantial resources are allocated to foreign aid with the aim of catalyzing prosperity and development in recipient countries. The diverse body of research on the relationship between aid and gross domestic product (GDP) has…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-26 Anika Dixit

A new model that combines economic growth rate fluctuations at the microscopic and macroscopic level is presented. At the microscopic level, firms are growing at different rates while also being exposed to idiosyncratic shocks at the firm…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-07 Sandro Claudio Lera , Didier Sornette

We have modeled the employment/population ratio in the largest developed countries. Our results show that the evolution of the employment rate since 1970 can be predicted with a high accuracy by a linear dependence on the logarithm of real…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-21 Ivan Kitov , Oleg Kitov

We show that the amount of foreign exchange reserves (FER) in the world in a given currency is highly correlated with the GDP and military spending of that country for a set of western economies during the last 20 years. Taking into account…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-09 Boris Podobnik , Dorian Wild , Dejan Kovac

This paper aims to explore the application of machine learning in forecasting Chinese macroeconomic variables. Specifically, it employs various machine learning models to predict the quarterly real GDP growth of China, and analyzes the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Yanqing Yang , Xingcheng Xu , Jinfeng Ge , Yan Xu

The democracy-science relationship has traditionally been examined through philosophical conjecture and single country case studies. There remains limited global scale empirical research on the topic. This study explores country level…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Travis A. Whetsell

GDP of China is about 11 trillion dollars and GDP of the United States is about 18 trillion dollars. Suppose that we know for the coming years, economy of the US will experience a real growth rate equal to \%3 and economy of China will…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-01 Ali Hosseiny

The expression "wage transition" refers to the fact that over the past two or three decades in all developed economies wage increases have levelled off. There has been a widening divergence and decoupling between wages on the one hand and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-01 Belal Baaquie , Bertrand M. Roehner , Qinghai Wang

Energy usage and GDP have been the subject of numerous studies over the past decades. It has been overlooked by previous studies that energy consumption correlates with economic growth in relation to GDP. This study uses threshold…

Data describing historical economic growth are analysed. Included in the analysis is the world and regional economic growth. The analysis demonstrates that historical economic growth had a natural tendency to follow hyperbolic…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-03 Ron W. Nielsen

We study the relationship between foreign debt and GDP growth using a panel dataset of 50 countries from 1997 to 2015. We find that economic growth correlates positively with foreign debt and that the relationship is causal in nature by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-08 Tomoo Kikuchi , Satoshi Tobe

Is a causal description of human wealth history conceivable? To investigate the matter we introduce a simple causal albeit strongly aggregated model, assuming that the observed wealth growth is mainly driven by human collaborative efforts…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-07-23 Paolo Sibani , Steen Rasmussen

Dynamic network data have become ubiquitous in social network analysis, with new information becoming available that captures when friendships form, when corporate transactions happen and when countries interact with each other. Flexible…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-16 Yunran Chen , Alexander Volfovsky

We collect and analyze the data for working time, life expectancy, and the pair output and infrastructure of industrializing nations. During S-functional recovery from disaster the pair's time shifts yield 25 years for the infrastructure's…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-07 Hans G. Danielmeyer , Thomas Martinetz

A practical statistical analysis on the regional populations and GDPs of China is conducted. The result shows that the distribution of the populations and that of the GDPs obeys the shifted power law, respectively. To understand these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Jie Huo , Xu-Ming Wang , Rui Hao , Peng Wang

Different distance matrices are defined and applied to look for correlations between the gross domestic product of G7 countries. Results are illustrated through displays obtained from various graph methods. Significant similarities between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-10-03 Janusz Miskiewicz , Marcel Ausloos

This paper applies existing and new approaches to study trends in the performance of elite athletes over time. We study both track and field scores of men and women athletes on a yearly basis from 2001 to 2019, revealing several trends and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-20 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

This study examines the relationship between trade openness, logistics performance, and economic growth within G20 economies. Using a Bootstrap Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model augmented by a dynamic error correction mechanism…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-30 Haibo Wang , Lutfu Sua

Coalition forming is investigated among countries, which are coupled with short range interactions, under the influence of external fields produced by the existence of global alliances. The model rests on the natural model of coalition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-18 Galina Vinogradova , Serge Galam