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In this paper, we present a theoretical and computational workflow for the non-parametric Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion functions of autonomous diffusion processes. We base the inference on the partial differential equations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Maximilian Kruse , Sebastian Krumscheid

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

This paper studies an asymptotic framework for conducting inference on parameters of the form $\phi(\theta_0)$, where $\phi$ is a known directionally differentiable function and $\theta_0$ is estimated by $\hat \theta_n$. In these settings,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-14 Zheng Fang , Andres Santos

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Olena Dehtiar , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We construct the basis of a stochastic calculus for so-called Volterra processes, i.e., processes which are defined as the stochastic integral of a time-dependent kernel with respect to a standard Brownian motion. For these processes which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Decreusefond

We define and solve Volterra equations driven by an irregular signal, by means of a variant of the rough path theory allowing to handle generalized integrals weighted by an exponential coefficient. The results are applied to the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-13 Samy Tindel , Aurélien Deya

We study asymptotic error distributions associated with standard approximation scheme for one-dimensional stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motions. This problem was studied by, for instance, Gradinaru-Nourdin…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Shigeki Aida , Nobuaki Naganuma

We study the existence and uniqueness of solutions to stochastic differential equations with Volterra processes driven by L\'evy noise. For this purpose, we study in detail smoothness properties of these processes. Special attention is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

In the present paper we consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind defined as solution to the equation $dX_{t} = -\alpha X_{t}dt+dY_{t}^{(1)}, \ \ X_{0}=0$, where $Y_{t}^{(1)}:=\int_{0}^{t}e^{-s}dB^H_{a_{s}}$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Maoudo Faramba Balde , Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

Estimating function inference is indispensable for many common point process models where the joint intensities are tractable while the likelihood function is not. In this paper we establish asymptotic normality of estimating function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Frédéric Lavancier , Arnaud Poinas , Rasmus Waagepetersen

In this paper, we consider the nonparametric estimation problem of the drift function of stochastic differential equations driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy motion. First, the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the path probabilities of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan , Jianyu Hu , Xiangjun Wang

We investigate the well-posedness of stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion, focusing on the long-range dependent case $H \in (\frac{1}{2}, 1)$. While existing results on regularization by such noise…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Maximilian Buthenhoff , Ercan Sönmez

We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

We propose a novel non-parametric learning paradigm for the identification of drift and diffusion coefficients of multi-dimensional non-linear stochastic differential equations, which relies upon discrete-time observations of the state. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

In this paper we consider a diffusion process obtained as a small random perturbation of a dynamical system attracted to a stable equilibrium point. The drift and the diffusive perturbation are assumed to evolve slowly in time. We describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-23 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

The motions of a passive scalar $\hat{a}$ in a general high-frequency oscillating flow are studied. Our aim is threefold: (i) to obtain different classes of general solutions; (ii) to identify, classify, and develop related asymptotic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-09-22 V. A. Vladimirov

Stochastic Stokes' drift and hypersensitive transport driven by dichotomous noise are theoretically investigated. Explicit mathematical expressions for the asymptotic probability density and drift velocity are derived including the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 I. Bena , R. Kawai , C. Van den Broeck , Katja Lindenberg

The existence of weak solutions is established for stochastic Volterra equations with time-inhomogeneous coefficients allowing for general kernels in the drift and convolutional or bounded kernels in the diffusion term. The presented…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 David J. Prömel , David Scheffels

We derive explicit results for the asymptotic probability density and drift velocity in systems driven by dichotomous Markov noise, including the situation in which the asymptotic dynamics crosses {\em unstable} fixed points. The results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 I. Bena , C. Van den Broeck , R. Kawai , Katja Lindenberg