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We derive the strong consistency of the least squares estimator for the drift coefficient of a fractional stochastic differential system. The drift coeffcient is one-sided dissipative Lipschitz and the driving noise is additive and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Hongjuan Zhou

We provide a short-time large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic volatility models, where the volatility is expressed as a function of a Volterra process. This LDP does not require strict self-similarity assumptions on the Volterra…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Giacomo Giorgio , Barbara Pacchiarotti , Paolo Pigato

The self-similar asymptotics for solutions to the drift-diffusion equation with fractional dissipation, coupled to the Poisson equation, is analyzed in the whole space. It is shown that in the subcritical and supercritical cases, the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-03-01 Franz Achleitner , Ansgar Jüngel , Masakazu Yamamoto

We present an abstract framework to study weak convergence of numerical approximations of linear stochastic partial differential equations driven by additive L\'evy noise. We first derive a representation formula for the error which we then…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-25 Mihály Kovács , Felix Lindner , René L. Schilling

This paper provide a comprehensive analysis of the finite and long time behavior of continuous-time non-Markovian dynamical systems, with a focus on the forward Stochastic Volterra Integral Equations(SVIEs).We investigate the properties of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Markus Bibinger , Markus Reiß

Motivated by the construction of the It\^o stochastic integral, we consider a step function method to discretize and simulate volatility modulated L\'evy semistationary processes. Moreover, we assess the accuracy of the method with a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-11 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

With today's abundant streams of data, the only constant we can rely on is change. For stream classification algorithms, it is necessary to adapt to concept drift. This can be achieved by monitoring the model error, and triggering counter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Lukas Fleckenstein , Sebastian Kauschke , Johannes Fürnkranz

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

Particle smoothing methods are used for inference of stochastic processes based on noisy observations. Typically, the estimation of the marginal posterior distribution given all observations is cumbersome and computational intensive. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-24 H. -Ch. Ruiz , H. J. Kappen

Consider a diffusion process X=(X_t), with t in [0,1], observed at discrete times and high frequency, solution of a stochastic differential equation whose drift and diffusion coefficients are assumed to be unknown. In this article, we focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Eddy Ella-Mintsa

Based on the recent development of the framework of Volterra rough paths, we consider here the probabilistic construction of the Volterra rough path associated to the fractional Brownian motion with $H>\frac{1}{2}$ and for the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Fabian Harang , Samy Tindel , Xiaohua Wang

We study SDE $$ d X_t = b(X_t) \, dt + A(X_{t-}) \, d Z_t, \quad X_{0} = x \in \mathbb{R}^d, \quad t \geq 0 $$ where $Z=(Z^1, \dots, Z^d)^T$, with $Z^i, i=1,\dots, d$ being independent one-dimensional symmetric jump L\'evy processes, not…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Tadeusz Kulczycki , Oleksii Kulyk , Michał Ryznar

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

The purpose of this paper is to establish the convergence in distribution of the normalized error in the Euler approximation scheme for stochastic Volterra equations driven by a standard Brownian motion, with a kernel of the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-18 David Nualart , Bhargobjyoti Saikia

This paper provides an extended case study of the cutoff phenomenon for a prototypical class of nonlinear Langevin systems with a single stable state perturbed by an additive pure jump L\'evy noise of small amplitude $\varepsilon>0$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 G. Barrera , Michael A. Högele , J. C. Pardo

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

In this short paper, we aim at developing algorithms for sparse Volterra system identification when the system to be identified has infinite impulse response. Assuming that the impulse response is represented as a sum of exponentials and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Sarah Hojjatinia , Korkut Bekiroglu , Constantino M. Lagoa

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez
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