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We consider nonlinear filters for diffusion processes when the observation and signal noises are small and of the same order. As the noise intensities approach zero, the nonlinear filter can be approximated by a certain variational problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Anugu Sumith Reddy , Amarjit Budhiraja , Amit Apte

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We present an asymptotic expansion formula of an estimator for the drift coefficient of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. As the machinery, we apply the general expansion scheme for Wiener functionals recently developed by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Ciprian A. Tudor , Nakahiro Yoshida

We investigate the problem of joint statistical estimation of several parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional Brownian motion. Based on discrete-time observations of the model, we construct an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

We study statistical inference of the drift parameters for the Volterra Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on R in the ergodic regime. For continuous-time observations, we derive the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators and show that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer

We consider the problem of the estimation of the invariant distribution function of an ergodic diffusion process when the drift coefficient is unknown. The empirical distribution function is a natural estimator which is unbiased, uniformly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ilia Negri

We study nonparametric estimation of the diffusion coefficient from discrete data, when the observations are blurred by additional noise. Such issues have been developed over the last 10 years in several application fields and in particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-30 Marc Hoffmann , Axel Munk , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka

In this paper, a linear model of diffusion processes with unknown drift and diagonal diffusion matrices is discussed. We will consider the estimation problems for unknown parameters based on the discrete time observation in high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Kou Fujimori

We consider a controlled second order differential equation which is partially observed with an additional fractional noise. we study the asymptotic (for large observation time) design problem of the input and give an efficient estimator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Chunhao Cai , Wujun LV

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

In this paper, we address high-dimensional parametric estimation of the drift function in diffusion models, specifically focusing on a $d$-dimensional ergodic diffusion process observed at discrete time points. We consider both a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Chiara Amorino , Francisco Pina , Mark Podolskij

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

Assuming that a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck state process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate all drift and diffusion parameters via the celebrated ergodic theorem. With the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

In this work, we establish a comparison principle for stochastic Volterra equations with respect to the initial condition and the drift $b$ applicable to a wide class of Volterra kernels and input curves $g$ that may be singular at zero.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-26 Ole Cañadas , Martin Friesen

Asymptotic properties of the local Whittle estimator in the nonstationary case (d>{1/2}) are explored. For {1/2}<d\leq 1, the estimator is shown to be consistent, and its limit distribution and the rate of convergence depend on the value of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter C. B. Phillips , Katsumi Shimotsu

We develop and analyze a general technique for learning with an unknown distribution drift. Given a sequence of independent observations from the last $T$ steps of a drifting distribution, our algorithm agnostically learns a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

We consider the question of estimating the drift and the invariant density for a large class of scalar ergodic diffusion processes, based on continuous observations, in $\sup$-norm loss. The unknown drift $b$ is supposed to belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift of a continuously observed one-dimensional diffusion with periodic drift. Motivated by computational considerations, van der Meulen e.a. (2014) defined a prior on the drift as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Jan van Waaij

We study parameter estimation for a linear parabolic second-order stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) in two space dimensions with a small dispersion parameter using high frequency data with respect to time and space. We set two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida