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Two methods of estimation of the drift parameters of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process: continuous observations

Probability 2020-05-12 v1

Abstract

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form drt=(abrt)dt+σrtdWtdr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t, where aa, bb and σ\sigma are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the estimation of an unknown drift parameter (a,b)(a,b) by continuous observations of a sample path {rt,t[0,T]}\{r_t,t\in[0,T]\}. First, we prove the strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator. Since this estimator is well-defined only in the case 2a>σ22a>\sigma^2, we propose another estimator that is defined and strongly consistent for all positive aa, bb, σ\sigma. The quality of the estimators is illustrated by simulation results.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2005.05262,
  title  = {Two methods of estimation of the drift parameters of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process: continuous observations},
  author = {Olena Dehtiar and Yuliya Mishura and Kostiantyn Ralchenko},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.05262},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

21 pages