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Change detection in the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model

Statistics Theory 2015-02-26 v1 Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

We propose a change detection method for the famous Cox--Ingersoll--Ross model. This model is widely used in financial mathematics and therefore detecting a change in its parameters is of crucial importance. We develop one- and two-sided testing procedures for both drift parameters of the process. The test process is based on estimators that are motivated by the discrete time least-squares estimators, and its asymptotic distribution under the no-change hypothesis is that of a Brownian bridge. We prove the asymptotic weak consistence of the test, and derive the asymptotic properties of the change-point estimator under the alternative hypothesis of change at one point in time.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1502.07102,
  title  = {Change detection in the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model},
  author = {Gyula Pap and Tamás T. Szabó},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1502.07102},
  year   = {2015}
}

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30 pages