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The question of whether the central limit theorem (CLT) holds for the total number of edges in exponential random graph models (ERGMs) in the subcritical region of parameters has remained an open problem. In this paper, we establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Xiao Fang , Song-Hao Liu , Qi-Man Shao , Yi-Kun Zhao

This paper develops asymptotic theory for quantile estimation via stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with a constant learning rate. The quantile loss function is neither smooth nor strongly convex. Beyond conventional perspectives and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Ziyang Wei , Jiaqi Li , Likai Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Approximating the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem with Gaussian mixtures has been a very popular method since the 1970s. However, the vast majority of such approximations are introduced in an ad-hoc manner without theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-28 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

Recent progress in reinforcement learning has led to remarkable performance in a range of applications, but its deployment in high-stakes settings remains quite rare. One reason is a limited understanding of the behavior of reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Feicheng Wang , Lucas Janson

Given a finite metric space $(X\cup Y, \mathbf{d})$ the $k$-median problem is to find a set of $k$ centers $C\subseteq Y$ that minimizes $\sum_{p\in X} \min_{c\in C} \mathbf{d}(p,c)$. In general metrics, the best polynomial time algorithm…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Anne Driemel , Jan Höckendorff , Ioannis Psarros , Christian Sohler , Di Yue

We consider the dynamics of a linear stochastic approximation algorithm driven by Markovian noise, and derive finite-time bounds on the moments of the error, i.e., deviation of the output of the algorithm from the equilibrium point of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-11 R. Srikant , Lei Ying

In this work, we study the asymptotic randomness of an algorithmic estimator of the saddle point of a globally convex-concave and locally strongly-convex strongly-concave objective. Specifically, we show that the averaged iterates of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Abhishek Roy , Yi-An Ma

Stochastic approximation is a powerful class of algorithms with celebrated success. However, a large body of previous analysis focuses on stochastic approximations driven by contractive operators, which is not applicable in some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Ethan Blaser , Shangtong Zhang

We consider a family of parallel methods for constrained optimization based on projected gradient descents along individual coordinate directions. In the case of polyhedral feasible sets, local convergence towards a regular solution occurs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-18 Olivier Bilenne

In this paper, we obtain the Berry-Esseen bound for multivariate normal approximation for the Polyak-Ruppert averaged iterates of the linear stochastic approximation (LSA) algorithm with decreasing step size. Moreover, we prove the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Sergey Samsonov , Eric Moulines , Qi-Man Shao , Zhuo-Song Zhang , Alexey Naumov

We prove a central limit theorem applicable to one dimensional stochastic approximation algorithms that converge to a point where the error terms of the algorithm do not vanish. We show how this applies to a certain class of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-24 Henrik Renlund

We analyze the fluctuations of incomplete $U$-statistics over a triangular array of independent random variables. We give criteria for a Central Limit Theorem (CLT, for short) to hold in the sense that we prove that an appropriately scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Matthias Löwe , Sara Terveer

In this paper, we are concerned with a non-asymptotic analysis of sampling algorithms used in nonconvex optimization. In particular, we obtain non-asymptotic estimates in Wasserstein-1 and Wasserstein-2 distances for a popular class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Ying Zhang , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Theodoros Damoulas , Sotirios Sabanis

Central limit theorems (CLTs) for high-dimensional random vectors with dimension possibly growing with the sample size have received a lot of attention in the recent times. Chernozhukov et al. (2017) proved a Berry--Esseen type result for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Somabha Mukherjee , Debapratim Banerjee

Policy evaluation in reinforcement learning is often conducted using two-timescale stochastic approximation, which results in various gradient temporal difference methods such as GTD(0), GTD2, and TDC. Here, we provide convergence rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Gal Dalal , Balazs Szorenyi , Gugan Thoppe

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is excluded by existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-15 Harold D Chiang , Bruce E Hansen , Yuya Sasaki

The superiority of symplectic methods for stochastic Hamiltonian systems has been widely recognized, yet the probabilistic mechanism behind this superiority remains incompletely understood. This paper studies the superiority of symplectic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Jialin Hong , Ge Liang , Derui Sheng

We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Bernard Bercu , Peggy Cénac , Guy Fayolle

This work revisits the constant stepsize stochastic approximation algorithm for tracking a slowly moving target and obtains a bound for the tracking error that is valid for the entire time axis, using the Alekseev non-linear variation of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-30 Bhumesh Kumar , Vivek Borkar , Akhil Shetty

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has been studied extensively over the past decades due to its simplicity and broad applicability in machine learning. In this work, we analyze the local behavior of gradient descent and stochastic gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Sebastian Kassing , Thomas Kruse
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