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In this article, we fill a gap in the literature regarding quantitative functional central limit theorems (qfCLT) for Hawkes processes by providing an upper bound for the convergence of a nearly unstable Hawkes process toward a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Laure Coutin , Benjamin Massat , Anthony Réveillac

Statistical inference for non-stationary data is hindered by the failure of classical central limit theorems (CLTs), not least because there is no fixed Gaussian limit to converge to. To resolve this, we introduce relative weak convergence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

Concentration inequalities for the sample mean, like those due to Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Bentkus, are valid for any sample size but overly conservative, yielding confidence intervals that are unnecessarily wide. The central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Morgane Austern , Lester Mackey

This paper studies a distributed stochastic optimization problem over random networks with imperfect communications subject to a global constraint, which is the intersection of local constraint sets assigned to agents. The global cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Jinlong Lei , Han-Fu Chen , Hai-Tao Fang

This paper establishes the first almost sure convergence rate and the first maximal concentration bound with exponential tails for general contractive stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian noise. As a corollary, we also obtain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Xiaochi Qian , Zixuan Xie , Xinyu Liu , Shangtong Zhang

We study the problem of list-decodable mean estimation, where an adversary can corrupt a majority of the dataset. Specifically, we are given a set $T$ of $n$ points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and a parameter $0< \alpha <\frac 1 2$ such that an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Daniel Kongsgaard , Jerry Li , Kevin Tian

Algorithms for solving \textit{nonlinear} fixed-point equations -- such as average-reward \textit{$Q$-learning} and \textit{TD-learning} -- often involve semi-norm contractions. Achieving parameter-free optimal convergence rates for these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ankur Naskar , Gugan Thoppe , Vijay Gupta

A quantum analogue of the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for bosonic system, first introduced by Cushen and Hudson (1971), states that the $n$-fold convolution $\rho^{\boxplus n}$ of an $m$-mode quantum state $\rho$, with zero first moments…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-11 Salman Beigi , Milad M. Goodarzi , Hami Mehrabi

We show that repulsive random variables can yield Monte Carlo methods with faster convergence rates than the typical $N^{-1/2}$, where $N$ is the number of integrand evaluations. More precisely, we propose stochastic numerical quadratures…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Rémi Bardenet , Adrien Hardy

In this note we consider the finite-dimensional parameter estimation problem associated to inverse problems. In such scenarios, one seeks to maximize the marginal likelihood associated to a Bayesian model. This latter model is connected to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Ajay Jasra , Abylay Zhumekenov

We consider stochastic wave equations in spatial dimensions $d \geq 4$. We assume that the driving noise is given by a Gaussian noise that is white in time and has some spatial correlation. When the spatial correlation is given by the Riesz…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Masahisa Ebina

In many iterative optimization methods, fixed-point theory enables the analysis of the convergence rate via the contraction factor associated with the linear approximation of the fixed-point operator. While this factor characterizes the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Trung Vu , Raviv Raich

We study central limit theorems for linear statistics in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with product priors. Unlike the existing literature where the focus is on posterior contraction, we work under a non-contracting regime…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Seunghyun Lee , Nabarun Deb , Sumit Mukherjee

Stochastic iterative algorithms, including stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD), are widely utilized for optimization and sampling in large-scale and high-dimensional problems in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Xiaoyu Wang , Mikolaj J. Kasprzak , Jeffrey Negrea , Solesne Bourguin , Jonathan H. Huggins

We consider asymptotic behavior of Fourier transforms of stationary ergodic sequences with finite second moments. We establish a central limit theorem (CLT) for almost all frequencies and also an annealed CLT. The theorems hold for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-08 Magda Peligrad , Wei Biao Wu

M-estimators are ubiquitous in machine learning and statistical learning theory. They are used both for defining prediction strategies and for evaluating their precision. In this paper, we propose the first non-asymptotic "any-time"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Arnak S. Dalalyan , Nicolas Schreuder

We investigate an almost sure limit theorem (ASCLT) for sequences of random variables having the form of a ratio of two terms such that the numerator satisfies the ASCLT and the denominator is a positive term which converges almost surely…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Peggy Cénac , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

Viewing a two time scale stochastic approximation scheme as a noisy discretization of a singularly perturbed differential equation, we obtain a concentration bound for its iterates that captures its behavior with quantifiable high…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Vivek S. Borkar , Sarath Pattathil

In two-time-scale stochastic approximation (SA), two iterates are updated at varying speeds using different step sizes, with each update influencing the other. Previous studies on linear two-time-scale SA have shown that the convergence…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yuze Han , Xiang Li , Zhihua Zhang

We prove a non-asymptotic central limit theorem for vector-valued martingale differences using Stein's method, and use Poisson's equation to extend the result to functions of Markov Chains. We then show that these results can be applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 R. Srikant