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We propose a new algorithm for approximating the non-asymptotic second moment of the marginal likelihood estimate, or normalizing constant, provided by a particle filter. The computational cost of the new method is $O(M)$ per time step,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-19 Svetoslav Kostov , Nick Whiteley

We consider a general linear program in standard form whose right-hand side constraint vector is subject to random perturbations. This defines a stochastic linear program for which, under general conditions, we characterize the fluctuations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Marcel Klatt , Axel Munk , Yoav Zemel

We investigate stochastic averaging theory for locally Lipschitz discrete-time nonlinear systems with stochastic perturbation and its applications to convergence analysis of discrete-time stochastic extremum seeking algorithms. Firstly, by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Shu-Jun Liu , Miroslav Krstic

We deduce the asymptotic error distribution of the Euler method for the nonlinear filtering problem with continuous-time observations. Previous works by several authors have shown that the error structure of the method is characterized by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Teppei Ogihara , Hideyuki Tanaka

We present a finite-time analysis of two smoothed functional stochastic approximation algorithms for simulation-based optimization. The first is a two time-scale gradient-based method, while the second is a three time-scale Newton-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Kaustubh Kartikey , Shalabh Bhatnagar

The standard small-time functional central limit theorem of semimartingales has been established in (Gerhold, S., Kleinert, M., Porkert, P., and Shkolnikov, M. (2015). Small time central limit theorems for semimartingales with applications.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Pietro Maria Sparago

We study the asymptotic behavior, uniform-in-time, of a non-linear dynamical system under the combined effects of fast periodic sampling with period $\delta$ and small white noise of size $\varepsilon,\thinspace 0<\varepsilon,\delta \ll 1$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Shivam Singh Dhama , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this article, we revisit the question of fluctuations of linear statistics of beta ensembles in the single cut and non-critical regime for general potentials $V$ under mild regularity and growth assumptions. Our main objective is to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Jürgen Angst , Ronan Herry , Dominique Malicet , Guillaume Poly

In this paper, we study analytical approximate solutions of the second-order homogeneous differential equations with the existence of only two turning points (but without poles), by using the uniform asymptotic approximation (UAA) method.…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-01-09 Rui Pan , John Joseph Marchetta , Jamal Saeed , Gerald Cleaver , Bao-Fei Li , Anzhong Wang , Tao Zhu

Linear statistics of eigenvalues in many familiar classes of random matrices are known to obey gaussian central limit theorems. The proofs of such results are usually rather difficult, involving hard computations specific to the model in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-25 Sourav Chatterjee

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a popular choice for learning latent variable models. Variants of the EM have been initially introduced, using incremental updates to scale to large datasets, and using Monte Carlo (MC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Belhal Karimi , Ping Li

Time-parallel algorithms, such as Parareal, are well-understood for linear problems, but their convergence analysis for nonlinear, chaotic systems remains limited. This paper introduces a new theoretical framework for analysing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Giancarlo Antonino Antonucci , Raphael Andreas Hauser , Debasmita Samaddar , James Buchanan

We study the estimation problem for linear time-invariant (LTI) state-space models with Gaussian excitation of an unknown covariance. We provide non asymptotic lower bounds for the expected estimation error and the mean square estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

Spectral estimation is a fundamental problem for time series analysis, which is widely applied in economics, speech analysis, seismology, and control systems. The asymptotic convergence theory for classical, non-parametric estimators, is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Yuping Zheng , Andrew Lamperski

Linear ARCH (LARCH) processes were introduced by Robinson [J. Econometrics 47 (1991) 67--84] to model long-range dependence in volatility and leverage. Basic theoretical properties of LARCH processes have been investigated in the recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Jan Beran , Martin Schützner

We study the central limit theorem in the non-normal domain of attraction to symmetric $\alpha$-stable laws for $0<\alpha\leq2$. We show that for i.i.d. random variables $X_i$, the convergence rate in $L^\infty$ of both the densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Christoph Börgers , Claude Greengard

We study a stochastically perturbed version of the well-known Krasnoselski--Mann iteration for computing fixed points of nonexpansive maps in finite dimensional normed spaces. We discuss sufficient conditions on the stochastic noise and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Mario Bravo , Roberto Cominetti

This paper presents a central limit theorem for a pre-averaged version of the realized covariance estimator for the quadratic covariation of a discretely observed semimartingale with noise. The semimartingale possibly has jumps, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Yuta Koike

Matrix completion algorithms recover a low rank matrix from a small fraction of the entries, each entry contaminated with additive errors. In practice, the singular vectors and singular values of the low rank matrix play a pivotal role for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-03 Juhee Cho , Donggyu Kim , Karl Rohe