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We study the statistical inference of nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms utilizing a single trajectory of Markovian data. Our methodology has practical applications in various scenarios, such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

Statistical inference under market equilibrium effects has attracted increasing attention recently. In this paper we focus on the specific case of linear Fisher markets. They have been widely use in fair resource allocation of food/blood…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-19 Luofeng Liao , Yuan Gao , Christian Kroer

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

We propose a general semi-supervised inference framework focused on the estimation of the population mean. As usual in semi-supervised settings, there exists an unlabeled sample of covariate vectors and a labeled sample consisting of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Anru Zhang , Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai

We consider the Markovian supermarket model with growing choices, where jobs arrive at rate $n\lambda_n$ and each of $n$ parallel servers processes jobs in its queue at rate $1$. Each incoming job joins the shortest among $d_n \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

We study the complexity of sampling from the stationary distribution of a mean-field SDE, or equivalently, the complexity of minimizing a functional over the space of probability measures which includes an interaction term. Our main insight…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Yunbum Kook , Matthew S. Zhang , Sinho Chewi , Murat A. Erdogdu , Mufan Bill Li

We estimate a general mixture of Markov jump processes. The key novel feature of the proposed mixture is that the transition intensity matrices of the Markov processes comprising the mixture are entirely unconstrained. The Markov processes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Halina Frydman , Budhi Surya

The main difficulty that arises in the analysis of most machine learning algorithms is to handle, analytically and numerically, a large number of interacting random variables. In this Ph.D manuscript, we revisit an approach based on the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-03-11 Benjamin Aubin

In this paper, we survey some recent results on statistical inference (parametric and nonparametric statistical estimation, hypotheses testing) about the spectrum of stationary models with tapered data, as well as, a question concerning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-17 Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Artur A. Sahakyan

The problem of reservation in a large distributed system is analyzed via a new mathematical model. A typical application is a station-based car-sharing system which can be described as a closed stochastic network where the nodes are the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Christine Fricker , Hanene Mohamed

In the supermarket model, there are $n$ queues, each with a single server. Customers arrive in a Poisson process with arrival rate $\lambda n$, where $\lambda = \lambda (n) \in (0,1)$. Upon arrival, a customer selects $d=d(n)$ servers…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-27 Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

We rigorously prove a central limit theorem for neural network models with a single hidden layer. The central limit theorem is proven in the asymptotic regime of simultaneously (A) large numbers of hidden units and (B) large numbers of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Justin Sirignano , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The statement of the mean field approximation theorem in the mean field theory of Markov processes particularly targets the behaviour of population processes with an unbounded number of agents. However, in most real-world engineering…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Mahmoud Talebi , Jan Friso Groote , Jean-Paul Linnartz

Network data are often sampled with auxiliary information or collected through the observation of a complex system over time, leading to multiple network snapshots indexed by a continuous variable. Many methods in statistical network…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Peter W. MacDonald , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

While many real-world data streams imply that they change frequently in a nonstationary way, most of deep learning methods optimize neural networks on training data, and this leads to severe performance degradation when dataset shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Wonju Lee , Seok-Yong Byun , Jooeun Kim , Minje Park , Kirill Chechil

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

Statistical Inference is the process of determining a probability distribution over the space of parameters of a model given a data set. As more data becomes available this probability distribution becomes updated via the application of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-04-28 David S. Berman , Jonathan J. Heckman , Marc Klinger

Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied problem, motivated by questions that are ubiquitous in extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ioan Scheffel , Marco Oesting , Gilles Stupfler

In this paper, we develop a stochastic algorithm based on Euler-Maruyama scheme to approximate the invariant measure of the limiting multidimensional diffusion of the $M/Ph/n+M$ queue. Specifically, we prove a non-asymptotic error bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Xinghu Jin , Guodong Pang , Lihu Xu , Xin Xu

Adequacy for estimation between an inferential method and a model can be de{\ldots}ned through two main requirements: {\ldots}rstly the inferential tool should de{\ldots}ne a well posed problem when applied to the model; secondly the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Michel Broniatowski , Justin Moutsouka