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We investigate the asymptotic risk of a general class of overparameterized likelihood models, including deep models. The recent empirical success of large-scale models has motivated several theoretical studies to investigate a scenario…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Ryumei Nakada , Masaaki Imaizumi

Statistical inference for discrete time observations of an affine stochastic delay differential equation is considered. The main focus is on maximum pseudo-likelihood estimators, which are easy to calculate in practice. A more general class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Uwe Küchler , Michael Sørensen

For algorithms based on interacting particle systems that admit a mean-field description, convergence analysis is often more accessible at the mean-field level. In order to transfer convergence results obtained at the mean-field level to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Nicolai Jurek Gerber , Franca Hoffmann , Urbain Vaes

Functional data present as functions or curves possessing a spatial or temporal component. These components by nature have a fixed observational domain. Consequently, any asymptotic investigation requires modelling the increased correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Cory W. Natoli , Edward D. White , Beau A. Nunnally , Alex J. Gutman , Raymond R. Hill

Mean-field theory is an approximation replacing an extended system by a few variables. For depinning of elastic manifolds, these are the position of its center of mass $u$, and the statistics of the forces $F(u)$. There are two proposals to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-19 Cathelijne ter Burg , Kay Joerg Wiese

Asymptotic efficiency theory is one of the pillars in the foundations of modern mathematical statistics. Not only does it serve as a rigorous theoretical benchmark for evaluating statistical methods, but it also sheds light on how to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Lvfang Sun , Zhenhua Lin , Lin Liu

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

The main object of investigation in this paper is a very general regression model in optional setting - when an observed process is an optional semimartingale depending on an unknown parameter. It is well-known that statistical data may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohamed Abdelghani , Alexander Melnikov , Andrey Pak

A recent dynamic mean-field theory for sequence processing in fully connected neural networks of Hopfield-type (During, Coolen and Sherrington, 1998) is extended and analized here for a symmetrically diluted network with finite connectivity…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 W. K. Theumann

The problem of communicating sensor measurements over shared networks is prevalent in many modern large-scale distributed systems such as cyber-physical systems, wireless sensor networks, and the internet of things. Due to bandwidth…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-14 Marcos M. Vasconcelos

We present a resummed mean-field approximation for inferring the parameters of an Ising or a Potts model from empirical, noisy, one- and two-point correlation functions. Based on a resummation of a class of diagrams of the small correlation…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-10-19 Hugo Jacquin , A. Rancon

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Disordered systems are characterized by the existence of many sample- dependent local energy minima, that cause a stepwise response when the system is perturbed. In this article we use an approach based on elementary probabilistic methods…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-03-08 Silvio Franz , Stefano Spigler

RED (Random Early Detection) has been suggested when multiple TCP sessions are multiplexed through a bottleneck buffer. The idea is to detect congestion before the buffer overflows by dropping or marking packets with a probability that…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 D. R. McDonald , J. Reynier

Mean field games is a recent area of study introduced by Lions and Lasry in a series of seminal papers in 2006. Mean field games model situations of competition between large number of rational agents that play non-cooperative dynamic games…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-03-18 Diogo A. Gomes , Joana Mohr , Rafael R. Souza

Consider a queueing system fed by traffic from $N$ independent and identically distributed marked point processes. We establish several novel sample path large deviations results in the scaled uniform topology for such a system with a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-11 James R. Cruise , Fraser Daly , Bemsibom Toh

This paper develops asymptotic theory for estimation of parameters in regression models for binomial response time series where serial dependence is present through a latent process. Use of generalized linear model (GLM) estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

This paper deals with subspace estimation in the small sample size regime, where the number of samples is comparable in magnitude with the observation dimension. The traditional estimators, mostly based on the sample correlation matrix, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-19 Pascal Vallet , Xavier Mestre , Philippe Loubaton

Mean-Field is an efficient way to approximate a posterior distribution in complex graphical models and constitutes the most popular class of Bayesian variational approximation methods. In most applications, the mean field distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-23 Pierre Baqué , Jean-Hubert Hours , François Fleuret , Pascal Fua
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