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Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

In the context of a large system of $N$ neurons interacting through spike events in a mean-field regime as $N\rightarrow \infty$, we characterize the estimation of a multidimensional parameter in the spiking rate, when the neural states are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Aline Duarte , Dasha Loukianova , Aurélien Velleret

We introduce a general framework for the mean-field analysis of large-scale load-balancing networks with general service distributions. Specifically, we consider a parallel server network that consists of N queues and operates under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Reza Aghajani , Xingjie Li , Kavita Ramanan

Random networks with complex topology are common in Nature, describing systems as diverse as the world wide web or social and business networks. Recently, it has been demonstrated that most large networks for which topological information…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-08-31 Albert-Laszlo Barabasi , Reka Albert , Hawoong Jeong

The paper considers the problem of distributed adaptive linear parameter estimation in multi-agent inference networks. Local sensing model information is only partially available at the agents and inter-agent communication is assumed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Soummya Kar , Jose' M. F. Moura , H. Vincent Poor

Inspired by sample splitting and the reusable holdout introduced in the field of differential privacy, we consider selective inference with a randomized response. We discuss two major advantages of using a randomized response for model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Xiaoying Tian , Jonathan E. Taylor

Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-11 Alice Corbella , Anne M Presanis , Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has recently attracted a surge of interest, both in the machine learning and statistics communities. The primary focus of these research fields has been to approximate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-27 Jukka Corander , Ulpu Remes , Ida Holopainen , Timo Koski

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Important gaps remain in our understanding of the thermodynamics and statistical physics of self-gravitating systems. Using mean field theory, here we investigate the equilibrium properties of several spherically symmetric model systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Peter J. Klinko , Bruce N. Miller

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

Mean-field reinforcement learning (MF-RL) scales multi-agent RL to large populations by reducing each agent's dependence on others to a single summary statistic -- the mean action. However, this reduction requires every agent to act at…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Shan Yang

A connection between the General Linear Model (GLM) in combination with classical statistical inference and the machine learning (MLE)-based inference is described in this paper. Firstly, the estimation of the GLM parameters is expressed as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-10 Juan Manuel Gorriz , SIPBA group , John Suckling

For a L\'evy basis $L$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and a suitable kernel function $f:\mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}$, consider the continuous spatial moving average field $X=(X_t)_{t\in \mathbb{R}^d}$ defined by $X_t = \int_{\mathbb{R}^d} f(t-s) \,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-02 David Berger

We initiate the study of statistical inference and A/B testing for two market equilibrium models: linear Fisher market (LFM) equilibrium and first-price pacing equilibrium (FPPE). LFM arises from fair resource allocation systems such as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Luofeng Liao , Christian Kroer

We establish mean-field limits for large-scale random-access networks with buffer dynamics and arbitrary interference graphs. While saturated-buffer scenarios have been widely investigated and yield useful throughput estimates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Fabio Cecchi , Sem C. Borst , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden , Philip A. Whiting

We consider a class of multi-agent distributed synchronization systems, which are modeled as $n$ particles moving on the real line. This class generalizes the model of a multi-server queueing system, considered in [15], employing so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Alexander Stolyar

Deterministic models of vegetation often summarize, at a macroscopic scale, a multitude of intrinsically random events occurring at a microscopic scale. We bridge the gap between these scales by demonstrating convergence to a mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

A variety of methods have been proposed for inference about extreme dependence for multivariate or spatially-indexed stochastic processes and time series. Most of these proceed by first transforming data to some specific extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-22 James E. Johndrow , Robert L. Wolpert

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang
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