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We consider population models in which the individuals reproduce, die and also migrate in space. The population size scales according to some parameter $N$, which can have different interpretations depending on the context. Each individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Ankit Gupta

We propose a new deterministic growth model which captures certain features of both the Gompertz and Korf laws. We investigate its main properties, with special attention to the correction factor, the relative growth rate, the inflection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Serena Spina

We study age-structured branching models with reproduction law depending on the remaining lifetime of the parent. The lifespan of an individual is decided at its birth and its remaining lifetime decreases at the unit speed. The models…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Ziling Cheng , Zenghu Li

How high should be the rate of immigration into a stochastic population in order to significantly reduce the probability of observing the population extinct? Is there any relation between the population size distributions with and without…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Baruch Meerson , Otso Ovaskainen

We use interacting particle systems to investigate survival and extinction of a species with colonies located on each site of $\mathbb {Z}^d$. In each of the four models studied, an individual in a local population can reproduce, die or…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Davide Borrello

Given a birth-death process on $\mathbb {N}$ with semigroup $(P_t)_{t\geq0}$ and a discrete gradient ${\partial}_u$ depending on a positive weight $u$, we establish intertwining relations of the form ${\partial}_uP_t=Q_t\,{\partial}_u$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Djalil Chafaï , Aldéric Joulin

We consider a continuous-time symmetric branching random walk on multidimensional lattices with immigration and infinite number of initial particles. We assume that at every lattice point a process of birth and death of particles is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Yu. Makarova , D. Han , S. Molchanov , E. Yarovaya

In subdivided populations, migration acts together with selection and genetic drift and determines their evolution. Building up on a recently proposed method, which hinges on the emergence of a time scale separation between local and global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-24 Pierangelo Lombardo , Andrea Gambassi , Luca Dall'Asta

We consider a multitype branching process with immigration in a random environment introduced by Key in [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987) 344--353]. It was shown by Key that, under the assumptions made in [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987) 344--353], the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Alexander Roitershtein

A steady influx of a single deleterious multilocus genotype will impose genetic load on the resident population and leave multiple descendants carrying various numbers of the foreign alleles. Provided that the foreign types are rare at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Alexey Yanchukov , Stephen R. Proulx

In this paper, we study the extinction time of logistic branching processes which are perturbed by an independent random environment driven by a Brownian motion. Our arguments use a Lamperti-type representation which is interesting on its…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Hélène Leman , Juan Carlos Pardo

Extinction times in resampling processes are fundamental yet often intractable, as previous formulas scale as $2^M$ with the number of states $M$ present in the initial probability distribution. We solve this by treating multinomial updates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-25 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

The paper considers a continuous-time birth-death process where the jump rate has an asymptotically polynomial dependence on the process position. We obtain a rough exponential asymptotics for the probability of excursions of a re-scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-26 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

Continuous-time birth-death-shift (BDS) processes are frequently used in stochastic modeling, with many applications in ecology and epidemiology. In particular, such processes can model evolutionary dynamics of transposable elements -…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-02 Jason Xu , Peter Guttorp , Midori Kato-Maeda , Vladimir N. Minin

We consider the spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot process model for frequencies of genetic types in a population living in R^d, with two types of individuals (0 and 1) and natural selection favouring individuals of type 1. We first prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Alison Etheridge , Amandine Veber , Feng Yu

This paper introduces stochastic processes that describe the evolution of systems of particles in which particles immigrate according to a Poisson measure and split according to a self-similar fragmentation. Criteria for existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Benedicte Haas

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel

Let $\omega=(\omega_i)_{i\in\mathbb Z}=(\mu^{L}_i,...,\mu^{1}_i,\lambda_i)_{i\in \mathbb Z}$, which serves as the environment, be a sequence of i.i.d. random nonnegative vectors, with $L\ge1$ a positive integer. We study birth and death…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Hua-Ming Wang

In this paper, we consider a critical Galton-Watson branching process with immigration stopped at zero $\mathbf{W}$. Some precise estimation on the generation function of the $n$-th population are obtained, and the tail probability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Doudou Li , Mei Zhang , Xianyu Zhang

We adopt an operatorial method based on the so-called creation, annihilation and number operators in the description of different systems in which two populations interact and move in a two-dimensional region. In particular, we discuss…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-07-13 Fabio Bagarello , Francesco Oliveri
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