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We propose the following model for speciation and extinction. Birth and deaths occur according to spatially inhomogeneous contact rates. We assume that the ratio of the birth rate over the death rate at a site converges to some limit as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We discuss two cases that can be connected to the dynamics of interacting populations: (I.) density waves for the case or negligible random fluctuations of the populations densities, and (II.) probability distributions connected to the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-04-05 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Zlatinka I. Dimitrova , Kaloyan N. Vitanov

The number of extant individuals within a lineage, as exemplified by counts of species numbers across genera in a higher taxonomic category, is known to be a highly skewed distribution. Because the sublineages (such as genera in a clade)…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-09 Panagis Moschopoulos , Max Shpak

Functional limit theorems are established for continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBIs), where the reproduction laws have finite first moments and the immigration laws exhibit large tails. Different regimes of immigration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Clément Foucart , Linglong Yuan

In order to model random density-dependence in population dynamics, we construct the random analogue of the well-known logistic process in the branching process' framework. This density-dependence corresponds to intraspecific competition…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amaury Lambert

In this paper we consider a triangular array of branching processes with non-stationary immigration. We prove a weak convergence of properly normalized branching processes with immigration to deterministic function under assumption that…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Sadillo Sharipov

We consider a critical branching process $Y_{n}$ in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. Let $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ be the event that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

Given that extinction in a bisexual population is certain, we study a way to approximate the time when this extinction occurs. Our study is based on standard tools from Extreme Value Theory, which in practice are very easy to implement. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-28 Ehyter M. Martín-González , Carlos Galván-Galván , Eduardo Calvo-Martínez

I study a population model in which the reproduction rate lambda is inherited with mutation, favoring fast reproducers in the short term, but conflicting with a process that eliminates agglomerations of individuals. The model is a variant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-02 Ronald Dickman

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

We examine birth--death processes with state dependent transition probabilities and at least one absorbing boundary. In evolution, this describes selection acting on two different types in a finite population where reproductive events occur…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-12 Philipp M. Altrock , Chaytanya S. Gokhale , Arne Traulsen

We are interested in modeling Darwinian evolution resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. The population is modeled as a stochastic point process whose generator captures…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

We consider stochastic population processes that are almost surely absorbed at the origin within finite time. Our interest is in the quasistationary distribution, $\boldsymbol{u}$, and the expected time, $\tau$, from quasistationarity to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Damian Clancy

In this paper one presents the extension of the transient analysis of the class of continuous-time birth and death processes defined on non-negative integers with special transitions from and to the origin. From the origin transitions can…

This paper deals into the long-term behavior of subordinated critical branching processes with migration. We focus on scenarios where emigration is the dominant factor and introduce additional randomness in timing through a subordination…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 George P. Yanev

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

Extinction of a long-lived isolated stochastic population can be described as an exponentially slow decay of quasi-stationary probability distribution of the population size. We address extinction of a population in a two-population system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

The purpose of this article is to observe that the zero sets of continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI) are infinitely divisible regenerative sets. Indeed, they can be constructed by the procedure of random cutouts…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-22 Clément Foucart , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

We examine what happens in a population when it experiences an abrupt change in surrounding conditions. Several cases of such "abrupt transitions" for both physical and living social systems are analyzed from which it can be seen that all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

We finely describe the speed of "coming down from infinity" for birth and death processes which eventually become extinct. Under general assumptions on the birth and death rates, we firstly determine the behavior of the successive hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-01 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard , Mathieu Richard