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The logistic birth and death process is perhaps the simplest stochastic population model that has both density-dependent reproduction, and a phase transition, and a lot can be learned about the process by studying its extinction time,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Eric Foxall

The current paper focuses on studying the impact of immigration with an infinite mean, driven by a discrete-stable compound Poisson process, when it is entering the branching environment with infinite variance of reproduction. Our goal is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova , Penka Mayster

A Feller's Brownian motion is a diffusion process on the half-line with general boundary behavior at the origin, described by four parameters. A birth-death process, on the other hand, is a continuous-time Markov chain on the nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Liping Li

Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Renaud Dessalles , Maria D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

Basic properties of Brownian motion are used to derive two results concerning birth-death chains. First, the probability of extinction is calculated. Second, sufficient conditions on the transition probabilities of a birth-death chain are…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-23 Greg Markowsky

Consider a supercritical branching random walk in a time-inhomogeneous random environment. We impose a selection (called barrier) on survival in the following way. The position of the barrier may depend on the generation and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 You Lv

Guided by the relationship between the breadth-first walk of a rooted tree and its sequence of generation sizes, we are able to include immigration in the Lamperti representation of continuous-state branching processes. We provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 M. Emilia Caballero , José Luis Pérez Garmendia , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

We consider subcritical branching processes with immigration which evolve under the influence of a random environment and study the tail distribution of life periods of such processes defined as the length of the time interval between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

A critical branching process with immigration which evolve in a random environment is considered. Assuming that immigration is not allowed when there are no individuals in the aboriginal population we investigate the tail distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Elena Dyakonova , Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

We study supercritical branching processes under the influence of an i.i.d. emigration component. We provide conditions, under which the lifetime of the process is finite respectively has a finite expectation. A new version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Georg Braun

In this paper we review some results on time-homogeneous birth-death processes. Specifically, for truncated birth-death processes with two absorbing or two reflecting endpoints, we recall the necessary and sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci

We consider a critical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We are interested in the event $\mathcal{A}_i(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

The homogeneous reconstructed evolutionary process is a birth-death process without observed extinct lineages. Each species evolves independently with the same diversification rates (speciation rate $\lambda(t)$ and extinction rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-12 Sebastian Höhna

In this paper we extend two limit theorems which were recently obtained for fragmentation processes to such processes with immigration. More precisely, in the setting with immigration we consider a limit theorem for the process counted with…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-24 Robert Knobloch

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

The extinction time of an isolated population can be exponentially reduced by a periodic modulation of its environment. We investigate this effect using, as an example, a stochastic branching-annihilation process with a time-dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Michael Assaf , Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

This paper is focused on a class of spatial birth and death process of the Euclidean space where the birth rate is constant and the death rate of a given point is the shot noise created at its location by the other points of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Francois Baccelli , Fabien Mathieu , Ilkka Norros

We develop a theory of first passage processes in stochastic non-equilibrium systems of birth-death type using two closely related epidemiological models as examples. Our method employs the probability generating function technique in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto