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We introduce an interacting particle system which models the inherited sterility method. Individuals evolve on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ according to a contact process with parameter $\lambda>0$. With probability $p \in [0,1]$ an offspring is fertile…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Sonia Velasco

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

In this paper the spatial-temporal dynamics of the members of interacting populations is described by nonlinear partial differential equations. We consider the migration as a diffusion process influenced by the changing values of the birth…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2012-08-28 Ivan jordanov , Nikolay K. Vitanov , Elena Nikolova

Many spatio-temporal data record the time of birth and death of individuals, along with their spatial trajectories during their lifetime, whether through continuous-time observations or discrete-time observations. Natural applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Frédéric Lavancier , Ronan Le Guével

We study the evolution of gene frequencies in a population living in $\mathbb{R}^d$, modelled by the spatial Lambda Fleming-Viot process with natural selection (Barton, Etheridge and Veber, 2010 and Etheridge, Veber and Yu, 2014). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Raphaël Forien , Sarah Penington

In this paper, the extinction problem for a class of distylous plant populations is considered within the framework of certain nonhomogeneous nearest-neighbor random walks in the positive quadrant. For the latter, extinction means…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Gerold Alsmeyer , Kilian Raschel

We consider a branching-selection particle system on the real line. In this model the total size of the population at time $n$ is limited by $\exp\left(a n^{1/3}\right)$. At each step $n$, every individual dies while reproducing…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Bastien Mallein

Let $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a regular one-dimensional diffusion that models a biological population. If one assumes that the population goes extinct in finite time it is natural to study the $Q$-process associated to $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$. This is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Alexandru Hening

Limit behaviour of temporal and contemporaneous aggregations of independent copies of a stationary multitype Galton-Watson branching process with immigration is studied in the so-called iterated and simultaneous cases, respectively. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

We investigate the one-dimensional telegraph random process in the presence of an elastic boundary at the origin. This process describes a finite-velocity random motion that alternates between two possible directions of motion (positive or…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

We consider branching Brownian motion in which initially there is one particle at $x$, particles produce a random number of offspring with mean $m+1$ at the time of branching events, and each particle branches at rate $\beta = 1/2m$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Pascal Maillard , Jason Schweinsberg

We consider an elliptic and time-inhomogeneous diffusion process with time-periodic coefficients evolving in a bounded domain of $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a smooth boundary. The process is killed when it hits the boundary of the domain (hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Pierre Del Moral , Denis Villemonais

Environmental noise can cause an exponential reduction in the mean time to extinction (MTE) of an isolated population. We study this effect on an example of a stochastic birth-death process with rates modulated by a colored Gaussian noise.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson , Boris Shklovskii

In a first part, we prove a Lyapunov-type criterion for the $\xi\_1$-positive recurrence of absorbed birth and death processes and provide new results on the domain of attraction of the minimal quasi-stationary distribution. In a second…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Denis Villemonais

We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

We introduce and investigate the escape problem for random walkers that may eventually die, decay, bleach, or lose activity during their diffusion towards an escape or reactive region on the boundary of a confining domain. In the case of a…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov , J. -F. Rupprecht

Multi-type birth-death processes underlie approaches for inferring evolutionary dynamics from phylogenetic trees across biological scales, ranging from deep-time species macroevolution to rapid viral evolution and somatic cellular…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-02 William S. DeWitt , Steven N. Evans , Ella Hiesmayr , Sebastian Hummel

We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

In many biological processes, the size of a population changes stochastically with time, and recent work in the context of cancer and bacterial growth have focused on the situation when the mean population size grows exponentially. Here,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-27 Kavita Jain , Hitesh Sumuni

We study evolutionary dynamics on graphs in which each step consists of one birth and one death, also known as the Moran processes. There are two types of individuals: residents with fitness $1$ and mutants with fitness $r$. Two standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 David A. Brewster , Yichen Huang , Michael Mitzenmacher , Martin A. Nowak
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