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Let $X_n, n \ge 0$ be a Markov chain with finite state space $M$. If $x,y \in M$ such that $x$ is transient we have $P^y(X_n = x) \to 0$ for $n \to \infty$, and under mild aperiodicity conditions this convergence is monotone in that for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Philipp König , Thomas Richthammer

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

This paper investigates MDPs with intermittent state information. We consider a scenario where the controller perceives the state information of the process via an unreliable communication channel. The transmissions of state information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Gongpu Chen , Soung-Chang Liew

Myopic strategy is one of the most important strategies when studying bandit problems. In this paper, we consider the two-armed bandit problem proposed by Feldman. With general distributions and utility functions, we obtain a necessary and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Zengjing Chen , Yiwei Lin , Jichen Zhang

This paper is devoted to studying the average optimality in continuous-time Markov decision processes with fairly general state and action spaces. The criterion to be maximized is expected average rewards. The transition rates of underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Xianping Guo , Ulrich Rieder

This paper explores continuous-time and state-space optimal stopping problems from a reinforcement learning perspective. We begin by formulating the stopping problem using randomized stopping times, where the decision maker's control is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Jodi Dianetti , Giorgio Ferrari , Renyuan Xu

We consider an optimal stopping time problem related with many models found in real options problems. The main goal of this work is to bring for the field of real options, different and more realistic pay-off functions, and negative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Manuel Guerra , Cláudia Nunes , Carlos Oliveira

We consider an optimal stopping problem with n correlated offers where the goal is to design a (randomized) stopping strategy that maximizes the expected value of the offer in the sequence at which we stop. Instead of assuming to know the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pieter Kleer , Daan Noordenbos

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

Given a dynamic ordinal game, we deem a strategy sequentially rational if there exist a Bernoulli utility function and a conditional probability system with respect to which the strategy is a maximizer. We establish a complete class theorem…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-07 Pierfrancesco Guarino

We consider the classical last-success problem for sequential Bernoulli trials in the homogeneous setting where $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ are i.i.d. $\mathrm{Bernoulli}(p)$ but the success probability $p\in(0,1)$ is unknown to the decision maker.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-09 Davy Paindaveine

We consider two variations of the classical secretary problem. * A variation of the returning secretary problem where each interviewee may appear a second time with a fixed probability p. The decision-maker observes interviewees…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Sarthak Agrawal , Sanjeev Saxena

We study a sequential coin-flipping game in which a player starts with~$n$ coins, each landing heads independently with probability~$p$. In each round the player flips all remaining coins and must set aside at least one coin showing heads;…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Peter Pfaffelhuber

Deciding the positivity of a sequence defined by a linear recurrence with polynomial coefficients and initial condition is difficult in general. Even in the case of recurrences with constant coefficients, it is known to be decidable only…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Alaa Ibrahim , Bruno Salvy

We formulate an optimal stopping problem for a geometric Brownian motion where the probability scale is distorted by a general nonlinear function. The problem is inherently time inconsistent due to the Choquet integration involved. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Zuo Quan Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

Consider the problem of approximating the optimal policy of a Markov decision process (MDP) by sampling state transitions. In contrast to existing reinforcement learning methods that are based on successive approximations to the nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-18 Mengdi Wang

In the best choice problem with random arrivals, an unknown number $n$ of rankable items arrive at times sampled from the uniform distribution. As is well known, a real-time player can ensure stopping at the overall best item with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Alexander Gnedin

A basic question for zero-sum repeated games consists in determining whether the mean payoff per time unit is independent of the initial state. In the special case of "zero-player" games, i.e., of Markov chains equipped with additive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Marianne Akian , Stéphane Gaubert , Antoine Hochart

The problem of making sequential decisions in unknown probabilistic environments is studied. In cycle $t$ action $y_t$ results in perception $x_t$ and reward $r_t$, where all quantities in general may depend on the complete history. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

Given an initial (resp., terminal) probability measure $\mu$ (resp., $\nu$) on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we characterize those optimal stopping times $\tau$ that maximize or minimize the functional $\mathbb{E} |B_0 - B_\tau|^{\alpha}$, $\alpha > 0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Tongseok Lim