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Bellman formulated a vague principle for optimization over time, which characterizes optimal policies by stating that a decision maker should not regret previous decisions retrospectively. This paper addresses time consistency in stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Alois Pichler , Alexander Shapiro

The window mean-payoff objective strengthens the classical mean-payoff objective by computing the mean-payoff over a finite window that slides along an infinite path. Two variants have been considered: in one variant, the maximum window…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Pranshu Gaba , Shibashis Guha

We consider finite-state Markov decision processes with the combined Energy-MeanPayoff objective. The controller tries to avoid running out of energy while simultaneously attaining a strictly positive mean payoff in a second dimension. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Mohan Dantam , Richard Mayr

We study the repeated optimal stopping problem, in which the same optimal stopping instance with an unknown distribution is solved repeatedly over $T$ rounds. We aim to simultaneously achieve strong per-round performance guarantees relative…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Tsubasa Harada , Yasushi Kawase , Hanna Sumita

For optimal stopping problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent level of time-inconsistency by taking the time needed to turn the naive strategies into the sophisticated ones. In particular, when in a repeated…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-22 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

We discuss importance sampling of exit problems that involve unbounded stopping times; examples are mean first passage times, transition rates or committor probabilities in molecular dynamics. The naive application of variance minimization…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Carsten Hartmann , Annika Jöster

We consider the problem of sequencing a set of positive numbers. We try to find the optimal sequence to maximize the variance of its partial sums. The optimal sequence is shown to have a beautiful structure. It is interesting to note that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-02-14 Li Wei , Wangdong Qi , Dingxing Chen , Peng Liu , En Yuan

We consider the verification of multiple expected reward objectives at once on Markov decision processes (MDPs). This enables a trade-off analysis among multiple objectives by obtaining the Pareto front. We focus on strategies that are easy…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Florent Delgrange , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Mickael Randour

This paper is composed of two main results concerning chains of infinite order which are not necessarily continuous. The first one is a decomposition of the transition probability kernel as a countable mixture of unbounded probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-01 Sandro Gallo , Nancy L. Garcia

We study optimal solutions to an abstract optimization problem for measures, which is a generalization of classical variational problems in information theory and statistical physics. In the classical problems, information and relative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Roman V. Belavkin

We study the problem of best-arm identification with fixed budget in stochastic multi-armed bandits with Bernoulli rewards. For the problem with two arms, also known as the A/B testing problem, we prove that there is no algorithm that (i)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Po-An Wang , Kaito Ariu , Alexandre Proutiere

Under the assumption of no-arbitrage, the pricing of American and Bermudan options can be casted into optimal stopping problems. We propose a new adaptive simulation based algorithm for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Daniel Egloff , Michael Kohler , Nebojsa Todorovic

We consider a variant of sequential testing by betting where, at each time step, the statistician is presented with multiple data sources (arms) and obtains data by choosing one of the arms. We consider the composite global null hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Ricardo J. Sandoval , Ian Waudby-Smith , Michael I. Jordan

In this paper we develop a unified approach for solving a wide class of sequential selection problems. This class includes, but is not limited to, selection problems with no-information, rank-dependent rewards, and considers both fixed as…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Alexander Goldenshluger , Yaakov Malinovsky , Assaf Zeevi

A run of all failures, a run of all successes, or complete separation in a logistic regression each tempts the analyst to declare a probability of exactly zero or one. The central message of this paper is that all three phenomena share a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

In the classical optimal stopping problem, a player is given a sequence of random variables $X_1\ldots X_n$ with known distributions. After observing the realization of $X_i$, the player can either accept the observed reward from $X_i$ and…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Shipra Agrawal , Jay Sethuraman , Xingyu Zhang

Robbins' problem of optimal stopping asks one to minimise the expected {\it rank} of observation chosen by some nonanticipating stopping rule. We settle a conjecture regarding the {\it value} of the stopped variable under the rule optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Alexander Gnedin , Alexander Iksanov

We study a sequential resource allocation problem involving a fixed number of recurring jobs. At each time-step the manager should distribute available resources among the jobs in order to maximise the expected number of completed jobs.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Tor Lattimore , Koby Crammer , Csaba Szepesvári

Probablistic solutions of the so called Schr\"{o}dinger boundary data problem provide for a unique Markovian interpolation between any two strictly positive probability densities designed to form the input-output statistics data for a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Garbaczewski

We examine the problem of the existence of optimal deterministic stationary strategiesintwo-players antagonistic (zero-sum) perfect information stochastic games with finitely many states and actions.We show that the existenceof such…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Hugo Gimbert , Wieslaw Zielonka