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Arnold's standard circle maps are widely used to study the quasi-periodic route to chaos and other phenomena associated with nonlinear dynamics in the presence of two rationally unrelated periodicities. In particular, the El Nino-Southern…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-27 L. Marangio , J. Sedro , S. Galatolo , A. Di Garbo , M. Ghil

El Ni\~{n}o is a typical example of a coupled atmosphere--ocean phenomenon, but it is unclear whether it can be described quantitatively by a correlation between relevant climate events. To provide clarity on this issue, we developed a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-14 Nozomi Sugiura , Shinya Kouketsu

This study assesses the ability of six European seasonal forecast models to simulate the observed teleconnection between ENSO and tropical cyclones (TCs) over the North Atlantic. While the models generally capture the basin-wide observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-23 Robert Doane-Solomon , Daniel Befort , Joanne Camp , Kevin Hodges , Antje Weisheimer

Sonification -- the mapping of data to non-speech audio -- offers an underexplored channel for representing complex dynamical systems. We treat El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a canonical example of low-dimensional climate chaos,…

The solar activity provides an important impact not only on the intensity of cosmic rays but also on the earth environment. In this paper, a coupled oscillator model is proposed to explain the solar activity. By this model the 89 year…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-26 Yasushi Muraki

The coupled atmosphere-ocean variability of the Indo-Pacific on interannual to multidecadal timescales is investigated in a millennial control run of CCSM4 and in observations using a family of modes recovered in Part~I of this work from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-09-30 Dimitrios Giannakis , Joanna Slawinska

We demonstrate an alternative correlation between the El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global temperature variation to that shown by McLean et al. [2009]. We show 50% of the variation in RATPAC-A tropospheric temperature (and 54%…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-14 David R. B. Stockwell , Anthony Cox

Forecasting the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been a subject of vigorous research due to the important role of the phenomenon in climate dynamics and its worldwide socioeconomic impacts. Over the past decades, numerous models for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-12 Xinyang Wang , Joanna Slawinska , Dimitrios Giannakis

MJO and SPV are prominent sources of subseasonal predictability in the Extratropics. With relevance for European weather it has been shown that the joint interaction of MJO and the SPV can modulate the preferred phase of the NAO and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-06 Fabian Mockert , Christian M. Grams , Sebastian Lerch , Julian Quinting

Different to classical theories which emphasize east--west feedback along the equator, data analyses via the extreme-point symmetric mode decomposition (ESMD) method support a new viewpoint that the El Ni\~{n}o--Southern Oscillation (ENSO)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-05 Jin-Liang Wang

Complex network theory provides a powerful toolbox for studying the structure of statistical interrelationships between multiple time series in various scientific disciplines. In this work, we apply the recently proposed climate network…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-26 Alexander Radebach , Reik V. Donner , Jakob Runge , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Kurths

Understanding current global climate requires an understanding of trends both in Earth's atmospheric temperature and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a characteristic large-scale distribution of warm water in the tropical Pacific…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-02-27 L. M. W. Leggett , D. A. Ball

The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is a planetary-scale, intraseasonal tropical rainfall phenomenon crucial for global weather and climate; however, its dynamics and predictability remain poorly understood. Here, we leverage deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Lin Yao , Da Yang , James P. C. Duncan , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Wahid Bhimji , Bin Yu

We develop a three-timescale framework for modelling climate change and introduce a space-heterogeneous one-dimensional energy balance model. This model, addressing temperature fluctuations from rising carbon dioxide levels and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-27 Gianmarco Del Sarto , Franco Flandoli

The dynamics of the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are succinctly captured by the Recharge Oscillator (RO) framework. However, to simulate ENSO realistically, careful choices must be made regarding the RO's key parameters. In…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 Sooman Han , Alexey Fedorov , Jérôme Vialard

Considering the interdependencies between water and electricity use is critical for ensuring conservation measures are successful in lowering the net water and electricity use in a city. This water-electricity demand nexus will become even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Renee Obringer , Rohini Kumar , Roshanak Nateghi

The relation between El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) perplexes the researchers. Probably, this is due to the default choice on empirical orthogonal function (EOF) method whose outputs are merely…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-05 Jin-Liang Wang

We study the forced response of the teleconnection between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global precipitation in general and the Indian summer monsoon (IM) in particular in the Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble. The forced…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-07 Tamás Bódai , Gábor Drótos , Kyung-Ja Ha , June-Yi Lee , Tímea Haszpra , Eui-Seok Chung

While deep-learning models have demonstrated skillful El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts up to one year in advance, they are predominantly trained on climate model simulations that provide thousands of years of training data at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Jakob Schloer , Matthew Newman , Jannik Thuemmel , Antonietta Capotondi , Bedartha Goswami

The recharge oscillator (RO) model has been successfully used to understand different aspects of the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Fitting the RO to observations and climate model simulations consistently suggests that ENSO is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-09 Elle Weeks , Eli Tziperman
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